Current forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and the Met Office indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 15 will likely fall between 23–25°C, aligning with the closely bunched market leaders at 24°C, 23°C, and 25°C. Typical mid-August conditions feature a strengthened Pacific High driving warm, humid air with daytime highs near 30°C, while overnight radiative cooling is limited by cloud cover, high dew points, and scattered showers that reduce temperature drops. Historical averages show lows near 24–25°C, with 2026 summer projections slightly above normal but no extreme heatwave signals yet. Key variables include evolving model runs for precipitation timing and any late adjustments to steering patterns, which could shift the low by 1–2°C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 15?
24°C 40%
23°C 24%
25°C 23%
26°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
19°C or below
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
24%
24°C
40%
25°C
23%
26°C
9%
27°C
9%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 40%
23°C 24%
25°C 23%
26°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
19°C or below
$12 Обс.
4%
20°C
$12 Обс.
4%
21°C
$11 Обс.
3%
22°C
$0 Обс.
7%
23°C
$40 Обс.
24%
24°C
$41 Обс.
40%
25°C
$0 Обс.
23%
26°C
$0 Обс.
9%
27°C
$23 Обс.
9%
28°C
$12 Обс.
1%
29°C or higher
$12 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and the Met Office indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 15 will likely fall between 23–25°C, aligning with the closely bunched market leaders at 24°C, 23°C, and 25°C. Typical mid-August conditions feature a strengthened Pacific High driving warm, humid air with daytime highs near 30°C, while overnight radiative cooling is limited by cloud cover, high dew points, and scattered showers that reduce temperature drops. Historical averages show lows near 24–25°C, with 2026 summer projections slightly above normal but no extreme heatwave signals yet. Key variables include evolving model runs for precipitation timing and any late adjustments to steering patterns, which could shift the low by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$154Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and the Met Office indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 15 will likely fall between 23–25°C, aligning with the closely bunched market leaders at 24°C, 23°C, and 25°C. Typical mid-August conditions feature a strengthened Pacific High driving warm, humid air with daytime highs near 30°C, while overnight radiative cooling is limited by cloud cover, high dew points, and scattered showers that reduce temperature drops. Historical averages show lows near 24–25°C, with 2026 summer projections slightly above normal but no extreme heatwave signals yet. Key variables include evolving model runs for precipitation timing and any late adjustments to steering patterns, which could shift the low by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$154Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and the Met Office indicate Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 15 will likely fall between 23–25°C, aligning with the closely bunched market leaders at 24°C, 23°C, and 25°C. Typical mid-August conditions feature a strengthened Pacific High driving warm, humid air with daytime highs near 30°C, while overnight radiative cooling is limited by cloud cover, high dew points, and scattered showers that reduce temperature drops. Historical averages show lows near 24–25°C, with 2026 summer projections slightly above normal but no extreme heatwave signals yet. Key variables include evolving model runs for precipitation timing and any late adjustments to steering patterns, which could shift the low by 1–2°C before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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