Forecast models from AccuWeather and timeanddate currently project mostly sunny, sweltering conditions in Chengdu on August 13, with daytime highs centered around 37–38°C (99–100°F) and very low precipitation chances. This consensus underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 37°C (44.5%) and 38°C (28.5%), followed by 36°C (19.5%). Typical August subtropical high humidity and regional atmospheric stability support these elevated temperatures, while historical August averages hover near 31–34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing minimal cloud cover and stable steering patterns, with any late forecast revisions on wind or moisture likely to shift the tight distribution around the 36–38°C cluster.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 13?
37°C 45%
38°C 29%
36°C 18%
39°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C
18%
37°C
45%
38°C
29%
39°C
6%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 45%
38°C 29%
36°C 18%
39°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
$757 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$340 Обс.
1%
34°C
$511 Обс.
3%
35°C
$246 Обс.
5%
36°C
$306 Обс.
18%
37°C
$2,316 Обс.
45%
38°C
$943 Обс.
29%
39°C
$600 Обс.
6%
40°C
$655 Обс.
<1%
41°C
$526 Обс.
<1%
42°C or higher
$199 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from AccuWeather and timeanddate currently project mostly sunny, sweltering conditions in Chengdu on August 13, with daytime highs centered around 37–38°C (99–100°F) and very low precipitation chances. This consensus underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 37°C (44.5%) and 38°C (28.5%), followed by 36°C (19.5%). Typical August subtropical high humidity and regional atmospheric stability support these elevated temperatures, while historical August averages hover near 31–34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing minimal cloud cover and stable steering patterns, with any late forecast revisions on wind or moisture likely to shift the tight distribution around the 36–38°C cluster.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,399Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from AccuWeather and timeanddate currently project mostly sunny, sweltering conditions in Chengdu on August 13, with daytime highs centered around 37–38°C (99–100°F) and very low precipitation chances. This consensus underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 37°C (44.5%) and 38°C (28.5%), followed by 36°C (19.5%). Typical August subtropical high humidity and regional atmospheric stability support these elevated temperatures, while historical August averages hover near 31–34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing minimal cloud cover and stable steering patterns, with any late forecast revisions on wind or moisture likely to shift the tight distribution around the 36–38°C cluster.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,399Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from AccuWeather and timeanddate currently project mostly sunny, sweltering conditions in Chengdu on August 13, with daytime highs centered around 37–38°C (99–100°F) and very low precipitation chances. This consensus underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities for 37°C (44.5%) and 38°C (28.5%), followed by 36°C (19.5%). Typical August subtropical high humidity and regional atmospheric stability support these elevated temperatures, while historical August averages hover near 31–34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing minimal cloud cover and stable steering patterns, with any late forecast revisions on wind or moisture likely to shift the tight distribution around the 36–38°C cluster.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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