Wellington's late-winter climate in August features average daily highs of 12–14 °C, shaped by its exposed coastal position on Cook Strait where strong winds frequently advect cooler maritime air and limit diurnal warming. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through August 2026, consistent with current short-range guidance showing a 13–14 °C maximum on the 12th under variable pressure and possible light showers. Trader consensus clustering at 14 °C (54.5 %) and 15 °C (28.5 %) therefore reflects alignment with both climatology and the latest model consensus, while lower-probability tails capture residual uncertainty from forecast spread and the potential for a brief high-pressure ridge to allow slightly warmer readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 12?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 12?
14°C 55%
15°C 30%
13°C 12%
16°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
12%
14°C
55%
15°C
30%
16°C
5%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 55%
15°C 30%
13°C 12%
16°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
9°C or below
$422 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$276 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$388 Обс.
1%
12°C
$247 Обс.
1%
13°C
$1,100 Обс.
12%
14°C
$993 Обс.
55%
15°C
$1,539 Обс.
30%
16°C
$287 Обс.
5%
17°C
$309 Обс.
1%
18°C
$302 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$466 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's late-winter climate in August features average daily highs of 12–14 °C, shaped by its exposed coastal position on Cook Strait where strong winds frequently advect cooler maritime air and limit diurnal warming. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through August 2026, consistent with current short-range guidance showing a 13–14 °C maximum on the 12th under variable pressure and possible light showers. Trader consensus clustering at 14 °C (54.5 %) and 15 °C (28.5 %) therefore reflects alignment with both climatology and the latest model consensus, while lower-probability tails capture residual uncertainty from forecast spread and the potential for a brief high-pressure ridge to allow slightly warmer readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,329Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's late-winter climate in August features average daily highs of 12–14 °C, shaped by its exposed coastal position on Cook Strait where strong winds frequently advect cooler maritime air and limit diurnal warming. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through August 2026, consistent with current short-range guidance showing a 13–14 °C maximum on the 12th under variable pressure and possible light showers. Trader consensus clustering at 14 °C (54.5 %) and 15 °C (28.5 %) therefore reflects alignment with both climatology and the latest model consensus, while lower-probability tails capture residual uncertainty from forecast spread and the potential for a brief high-pressure ridge to allow slightly warmer readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,329Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington's late-winter climate in August features average daily highs of 12–14 °C, shaped by its exposed coastal position on Cook Strait where strong winds frequently advect cooler maritime air and limit diurnal warming. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through August 2026, consistent with current short-range guidance showing a 13–14 °C maximum on the 12th under variable pressure and possible light showers. Trader consensus clustering at 14 °C (54.5 %) and 15 °C (28.5 %) therefore reflects alignment with both climatology and the latest model consensus, while lower-probability tails capture residual uncertainty from forecast spread and the potential for a brief high-pressure ridge to allow slightly warmer readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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