**Recent IMD forecasts for Lucknow project maximum temperatures of 35–36°C on August 12 amid partly cloudy skies and a chance of thundery development.** This aligns with observed highs of 33–35°C in early-to-mid August, above the long-term August average near 32°C, under a monsoon regime featuring moderate instability and humidity. Trader consensus favoring 35–36°C (combined ~80% implied probability) reflects model agreement on limited daytime clearing that permits sufficient solar heating, offset by uncertainty over exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness. Thicker cloud decks or earlier showers would favor the lower 34°C outcome by suppressing peak insolation, while drier breaks could push readings toward 37°C. Updated short-range model runs and IMD nowcasts over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between the two leading bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 12?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 12?
36°C 40%
35°C 38%
34°C 12%
37°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
12%
35°C
38%
36°C
40%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
2%
36°C 40%
35°C 38%
34°C 12%
37°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
$451 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$164 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$569 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$706 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$247 Обс.
1%
33°C
$182 Обс.
4%
34°C
$294 Обс.
12%
35°C
$574 Обс.
38%
36°C
$1,161 Обс.
40%
37°C
$298 Обс.
8%
38°C or higher
$222 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent IMD forecasts for Lucknow project maximum temperatures of 35–36°C on August 12 amid partly cloudy skies and a chance of thundery development.** This aligns with observed highs of 33–35°C in early-to-mid August, above the long-term August average near 32°C, under a monsoon regime featuring moderate instability and humidity.
Trader consensus favoring 35–36°C (combined ~80% implied probability) reflects model agreement on limited daytime clearing that permits sufficient solar heating, offset by uncertainty over exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness. Thicker cloud decks or earlier showers would favor the lower 34°C outcome by suppressing peak insolation, while drier breaks could push readings toward 37°C. Updated short-range model runs and IMD nowcasts over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,735Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent IMD forecasts for Lucknow project maximum temperatures of 35–36°C on August 12 amid partly cloudy skies and a chance of thundery development.** This aligns with observed highs of 33–35°C in early-to-mid August, above the long-term August average near 32°C, under a monsoon regime featuring moderate instability and humidity.
Trader consensus favoring 35–36°C (combined ~80% implied probability) reflects model agreement on limited daytime clearing that permits sufficient solar heating, offset by uncertainty over exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness. Thicker cloud decks or earlier showers would favor the lower 34°C outcome by suppressing peak insolation, while drier breaks could push readings toward 37°C. Updated short-range model runs and IMD nowcasts over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,735Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent IMD forecasts for Lucknow project maximum temperatures of 35–36°C on August 12 amid partly cloudy skies and a chance of thundery development.** This aligns with observed highs of 33–35°C in early-to-mid August, above the long-term August average near 32°C, under a monsoon regime featuring moderate instability and humidity. Trader consensus favoring 35–36°C (combined ~80% implied probability) reflects model agreement on limited daytime clearing that permits sufficient solar heating, offset by uncertainty over exact rainfall timing and cloud thickness. Thicker cloud decks or earlier showers would favor the lower 34°C outcome by suppressing peak insolation, while drier breaks could push readings toward 37°C. Updated short-range model runs and IMD nowcasts over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between the two leading bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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