Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF and national agencies show Amsterdam poised for peak temperatures near 30–33°C on August 14 amid a warm, high-pressure pattern with light winds and limited cloud cover. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty around afternoon maxima, driven by small differences in subsidence strength and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August records indicate such values sit above the 22–25°C climatological norm but remain within observed variability for the region. Traders appear to weigh the latest deterministic guidance against potential model adjustments expected from updated runs on August 13, keeping probabilities clustered around the 32–34°C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 14?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 14?
33°C 23%
32°C 21%
34°C 18%
31°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
10%
32°C
21%
33°C
23%
34°C
18%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 23%
32°C 21%
34°C 18%
31°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
28°C or below
$80 Обс.
2%
29°C
$70 Обс.
3%
30°C
$5 Обс.
6%
31°C
$25 Обс.
10%
32°C
$25 Обс.
21%
33°C
$0 Обс.
23%
34°C
$0 Обс.
18%
35°C
$0 Обс.
6%
36°C
$5 Обс.
1%
37°C
$5 Обс.
1%
38°C or higher
$5 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF and national agencies show Amsterdam poised for peak temperatures near 30–33°C on August 14 amid a warm, high-pressure pattern with light winds and limited cloud cover. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty around afternoon maxima, driven by small differences in subsidence strength and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August records indicate such values sit above the 22–25°C climatological norm but remain within observed variability for the region. Traders appear to weigh the latest deterministic guidance against potential model adjustments expected from updated runs on August 13, keeping probabilities clustered around the 32–34°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$219Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF and national agencies show Amsterdam poised for peak temperatures near 30–33°C on August 14 amid a warm, high-pressure pattern with light winds and limited cloud cover. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty around afternoon maxima, driven by small differences in subsidence strength and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August records indicate such values sit above the 22–25°C climatological norm but remain within observed variability for the region. Traders appear to weigh the latest deterministic guidance against potential model adjustments expected from updated runs on August 13, keeping probabilities clustered around the 32–34°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$219Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including ECMWF and national agencies show Amsterdam poised for peak temperatures near 30–33°C on August 14 amid a warm, high-pressure pattern with light winds and limited cloud cover. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty around afternoon maxima, driven by small differences in subsidence strength and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August records indicate such values sit above the 22–25°C climatological norm but remain within observed variability for the region. Traders appear to weigh the latest deterministic guidance against potential model adjustments expected from updated runs on August 13, keeping probabilities clustered around the 32–34°C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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