Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts highlight moderate to heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Beijing on August 13, limiting solar insolation and surface heating while promoting evaporative cooling, which anchors market-implied odds near 29–30°C. This aligns with the post-Li Qiu seasonal transition and East Asian monsoon patterns that suppress peak temperatures below early-August levels near 32–33°C. Model consensus shows highs typically 26–30°C depending on rain timing and intensity, with uncertainty in exact cloud persistence or clearing windows differentiating the closely matched 29°C and 30°C outcomes from lower or higher brackets. Official guidance and historical analogs for mid-August conditions support this range amid high humidity and variable steering flows.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on August 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 13?
29°C 27%
30°C 23%
31°C 16%
28°C 11%
НОВЕ
$36,065 Обс.
НОВЕ
$36,065 Обс.
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
9%
28°C
11%
29°C
27%
30°C
23%
31°C
16%
32°C or higher
9%
29°C 27%
30°C 23%
31°C 16%
28°C 11%
НОВЕ
$36,065 Обс.
НОВЕ
$36,065 Обс.
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
$542 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$880 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$2,370 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$1,874 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$2,448 Обс.
5%
27°C
$2,328 Обс.
9%
28°C
$3,108 Обс.
11%
29°C
$2,365 Обс.
27%
30°C
$1,905 Обс.
23%
31°C
$3,529 Обс.
16%
32°C or higher
$14,715 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts highlight moderate to heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Beijing on August 13, limiting solar insolation and surface heating while promoting evaporative cooling, which anchors market-implied odds near 29–30°C. This aligns with the post-Li Qiu seasonal transition and East Asian monsoon patterns that suppress peak temperatures below early-August levels near 32–33°C. Model consensus shows highs typically 26–30°C depending on rain timing and intensity, with uncertainty in exact cloud persistence or clearing windows differentiating the closely matched 29°C and 30°C outcomes from lower or higher brackets. Official guidance and historical analogs for mid-August conditions support this range amid high humidity and variable steering flows.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$36,065Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts highlight moderate to heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Beijing on August 13, limiting solar insolation and surface heating while promoting evaporative cooling, which anchors market-implied odds near 29–30°C. This aligns with the post-Li Qiu seasonal transition and East Asian monsoon patterns that suppress peak temperatures below early-August levels near 32–33°C. Model consensus shows highs typically 26–30°C depending on rain timing and intensity, with uncertainty in exact cloud persistence or clearing windows differentiating the closely matched 29°C and 30°C outcomes from lower or higher brackets. Official guidance and historical analogs for mid-August conditions support this range amid high humidity and variable steering flows.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$36,065Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent China Meteorological Administration forecasts highlight moderate to heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Beijing on August 13, limiting solar insolation and surface heating while promoting evaporative cooling, which anchors market-implied odds near 29–30°C. This aligns with the post-Li Qiu seasonal transition and East Asian monsoon patterns that suppress peak temperatures below early-August levels near 32–33°C. Model consensus shows highs typically 26–30°C depending on rain timing and intensity, with uncertainty in exact cloud persistence or clearing windows differentiating the closely matched 29°C and 30°C outcomes from lower or higher brackets. Official guidance and historical analogs for mid-August conditions support this range amid high humidity and variable steering flows.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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