Official Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus point to a high-pressure system over the UK driving warm southerly airflow and clear skies for London on August 12, supporting a daytime maximum near 32°C with strong solar heating and minimal cloud cover. This setup aligns closely with trader-implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes, which together exceed 85% market share. Recent data show the summer of 2026 running well above the long-term average, with enhanced warm-air advection patterns that have already produced multiple days above 30°C. Updated forecast runs from the Met Office and ECMWF will refine exact peaks ahead of resolution, while historical August maxima near 25–27°C provide context for the current elevated outlook.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 12?
Highest temperature in London on August 12?
31°C 37%
30°C 27%
32°C 22.3%
29°C 5%
НОВЕ
$14,926 Обс.
НОВЕ
$14,926 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
27%
31°C
37%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 37%
30°C 27%
32°C 22.3%
29°C 5%
НОВЕ
$14,926 Обс.
НОВЕ
$14,926 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$667 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$393 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$785 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$545 Обс.
1%
28°C
$794 Обс.
3%
29°C
$2,262 Обс.
5%
30°C
$3,804 Обс.
27%
31°C
$3,182 Обс.
37%
32°C
$975 Обс.
22%
33°C
$616 Обс.
5%
34°C or higher
$902 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus point to a high-pressure system over the UK driving warm southerly airflow and clear skies for London on August 12, supporting a daytime maximum near 32°C with strong solar heating and minimal cloud cover. This setup aligns closely with trader-implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes, which together exceed 85% market share. Recent data show the summer of 2026 running well above the long-term average, with enhanced warm-air advection patterns that have already produced multiple days above 30°C. Updated forecast runs from the Met Office and ECMWF will refine exact peaks ahead of resolution, while historical August maxima near 25–27°C provide context for the current elevated outlook.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,926Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus point to a high-pressure system over the UK driving warm southerly airflow and clear skies for London on August 12, supporting a daytime maximum near 32°C with strong solar heating and minimal cloud cover. This setup aligns closely with trader-implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes, which together exceed 85% market share. Recent data show the summer of 2026 running well above the long-term average, with enhanced warm-air advection patterns that have already produced multiple days above 30°C. Updated forecast runs from the Met Office and ECMWF will refine exact peaks ahead of resolution, while historical August maxima near 25–27°C provide context for the current elevated outlook.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$14,926Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus point to a high-pressure system over the UK driving warm southerly airflow and clear skies for London on August 12, supporting a daytime maximum near 32°C with strong solar heating and minimal cloud cover. This setup aligns closely with trader-implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes, which together exceed 85% market share. Recent data show the summer of 2026 running well above the long-term average, with enhanced warm-air advection patterns that have already produced multiple days above 30°C. Updated forecast runs from the Met Office and ECMWF will refine exact peaks ahead of resolution, while historical August maxima near 25–27°C provide context for the current elevated outlook.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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