**Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate highs for Chongqing on August 14, 2026, clustered around 33–36°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds near 34–35°C.** Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, basin topography, and urban heat island effect sustain elevated temperatures, with August averages often exceeding 33°C amid high humidity and weak winds. Recent model runs show consensus on mostly clear to scattered cloud conditions and minimal precipitation, supporting the leading probabilities while allowing for modest cooling if afternoon convection strengthens or steering patterns shift. Traders weigh these variables against historical August peaks, recognizing that small forecast adjustments in boundary layer moisture or insolation can swing the daily maximum by 1–2°C within the narrow resolution bands.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 14?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 14?
34°C 34%
35°C 27%
37°C 14%
36°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
30°C or below
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
13%
34°C
34%
35°C
27%
36°C
14%
37°C
14%
38°C
10%
39°C
5%
40°C or higher
3%
34°C 34%
35°C 27%
37°C 14%
36°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
30°C or below
$131 Обс.
3%
31°C
$60 Обс.
2%
32°C
$0 Обс.
12%
33°C
$0 Обс.
13%
34°C
$0 Обс.
34%
35°C
$0 Обс.
27%
36°C
$17 Обс.
14%
37°C
$70 Обс.
14%
38°C
$32 Обс.
10%
39°C
$32 Обс.
5%
40°C or higher
$12 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate highs for Chongqing on August 14, 2026, clustered around 33–36°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds near 34–35°C.** Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, basin topography, and urban heat island effect sustain elevated temperatures, with August averages often exceeding 33°C amid high humidity and weak winds. Recent model runs show consensus on mostly clear to scattered cloud conditions and minimal precipitation, supporting the leading probabilities while allowing for modest cooling if afternoon convection strengthens or steering patterns shift. Traders weigh these variables against historical August peaks, recognizing that small forecast adjustments in boundary layer moisture or insolation can swing the daily maximum by 1–2°C within the narrow resolution bands.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$354Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate highs for Chongqing on August 14, 2026, clustered around 33–36°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds near 34–35°C.** Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, basin topography, and urban heat island effect sustain elevated temperatures, with August averages often exceeding 33°C amid high humidity and weak winds. Recent model runs show consensus on mostly clear to scattered cloud conditions and minimal precipitation, supporting the leading probabilities while allowing for modest cooling if afternoon convection strengthens or steering patterns shift. Traders weigh these variables against historical August peaks, recognizing that small forecast adjustments in boundary layer moisture or insolation can swing the daily maximum by 1–2°C within the narrow resolution bands.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$354Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate highs for Chongqing on August 14, 2026, clustered around 33–36°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds near 34–35°C.** Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate, basin topography, and urban heat island effect sustain elevated temperatures, with August averages often exceeding 33°C amid high humidity and weak winds. Recent model runs show consensus on mostly clear to scattered cloud conditions and minimal precipitation, supporting the leading probabilities while allowing for modest cooling if afternoon convection strengthens or steering patterns shift. Traders weigh these variables against historical August peaks, recognizing that small forecast adjustments in boundary layer moisture or insolation can swing the daily maximum by 1–2°C within the narrow resolution bands.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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