Mid-August climatology in Jinan positions typical daily highs near 30–32 °C, with recent National Meteorological Center guidance indicating rain and persistent cloud cover moderating the August 12 maximum to roughly 26–27 °C. These conditions reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures well above the 26 °C threshold while remaining consistent with observed seasonal baselines and short-term model consensus. The near-certain market-implied probability for 26 °C or higher reflects this strong evidence from official forecasts and historical patterns. An unusually strong cold front or heavier precipitation could theoretically suppress readings further, yet current atmospheric setup makes such outcomes highly improbable before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jinan on August 12?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 12?
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
НОВЕ
$35,771 Обс.
НОВЕ
$35,771 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
НОВЕ
$35,771 Обс.
НОВЕ
$35,771 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
16°C or below
$3,273 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$2,774 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$2,749 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$3,338 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$3,191 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$2,855 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$2,076 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$2,287 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$2,927 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$5,366 Обс.
<1%
26°C or higher
$4,935 Обс.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mid-August climatology in Jinan positions typical daily highs near 30–32 °C, with recent National Meteorological Center guidance indicating rain and persistent cloud cover moderating the August 12 maximum to roughly 26–27 °C. These conditions reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures well above the 26 °C threshold while remaining consistent with observed seasonal baselines and short-term model consensus. The near-certain market-implied probability for 26 °C or higher reflects this strong evidence from official forecasts and historical patterns. An unusually strong cold front or heavier precipitation could theoretically suppress readings further, yet current atmospheric setup makes such outcomes highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$35,771Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mid-August climatology in Jinan positions typical daily highs near 30–32 °C, with recent National Meteorological Center guidance indicating rain and persistent cloud cover moderating the August 12 maximum to roughly 26–27 °C. These conditions reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures well above the 26 °C threshold while remaining consistent with observed seasonal baselines and short-term model consensus. The near-certain market-implied probability for 26 °C or higher reflects this strong evidence from official forecasts and historical patterns. An unusually strong cold front or heavier precipitation could theoretically suppress readings further, yet current atmospheric setup makes such outcomes highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$35,771Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mid-August climatology in Jinan positions typical daily highs near 30–32 °C, with recent National Meteorological Center guidance indicating rain and persistent cloud cover moderating the August 12 maximum to roughly 26–27 °C. These conditions reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures well above the 26 °C threshold while remaining consistent with observed seasonal baselines and short-term model consensus. The near-certain market-implied probability for 26 °C or higher reflects this strong evidence from official forecasts and historical patterns. An unusually strong cold front or heavier precipitation could theoretically suppress readings further, yet current atmospheric setup makes such outcomes highly improbable before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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