Recent official forecasts and model consensus indicate that persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and flash flood risks in Zhengzhou on August 12 will limit solar insolation and surface heating, keeping the daily maximum near 25°C. Moisture advection from regional monsoon influences combined with northeasterly winds and an overcast frontal system further moderates peaks well below the typical August climatology of 30–33°C. This strong scientific alignment across sources such as the China Meteorological Administration, numerical weather prediction runs, and station observations underpins the 99.5% market-implied probability for 25°C. Clearer breaks in the cloud deck or shifts in steering patterns could allow brief warming, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched wet pattern.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 12?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 12?
25°C 99.5%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
32°C or higher <1%
НОВЕ
$12,828 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,828 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
25°C 99.5%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
32°C or higher <1%
НОВЕ
$12,828 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,828 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
22°C or below
$961 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$1,411 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$3,526 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$974 Обс.
100%
26°C
$655 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$734 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$820 Обс.
1%
29°C
$1,473 Обс.
1%
30°C
$716 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$665 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$893 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus indicate that persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and flash flood risks in Zhengzhou on August 12 will limit solar insolation and surface heating, keeping the daily maximum near 25°C. Moisture advection from regional monsoon influences combined with northeasterly winds and an overcast frontal system further moderates peaks well below the typical August climatology of 30–33°C. This strong scientific alignment across sources such as the China Meteorological Administration, numerical weather prediction runs, and station observations underpins the 99.5% market-implied probability for 25°C. Clearer breaks in the cloud deck or shifts in steering patterns could allow brief warming, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched wet pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,828Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus indicate that persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and flash flood risks in Zhengzhou on August 12 will limit solar insolation and surface heating, keeping the daily maximum near 25°C. Moisture advection from regional monsoon influences combined with northeasterly winds and an overcast frontal system further moderates peaks well below the typical August climatology of 30–33°C. This strong scientific alignment across sources such as the China Meteorological Administration, numerical weather prediction runs, and station observations underpins the 99.5% market-implied probability for 25°C. Clearer breaks in the cloud deck or shifts in steering patterns could allow brief warming, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched wet pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,828Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and model consensus indicate that persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and flash flood risks in Zhengzhou on August 12 will limit solar insolation and surface heating, keeping the daily maximum near 25°C. Moisture advection from regional monsoon influences combined with northeasterly winds and an overcast frontal system further moderates peaks well below the typical August climatology of 30–33°C. This strong scientific alignment across sources such as the China Meteorological Administration, numerical weather prediction runs, and station observations underpins the 99.5% market-implied probability for 25°C. Clearer breaks in the cloud deck or shifts in steering patterns could allow brief warming, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched wet pattern.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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