Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over southern England, sustained by high pressure and southerly flow, supporting minimum temperatures in London near 21–23 °C on 14 August. Clear skies promote nocturnal radiative cooling, yet light winds limit mixing and keep lows from falling sharply, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight wind shift could trim the minimum by 1–2 °C. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values and underscoring the sensitivity of overnight lows to small changes in boundary-layer conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 14?
Lowest temperature in London on August 14?
22°C 32%
23°C 26%
21°C 25%
20°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
9%
21°C
25%
22°C
32%
23°C
26%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 32%
23°C 26%
21°C 25%
20°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
$32 Обс.
1%
17°C
$18 Обс.
1%
18°C
$18 Обс.
2%
19°C
$20 Обс.
5%
20°C
$199 Обс.
9%
21°C
$97 Обс.
25%
22°C
$490 Обс.
32%
23°C
$114 Обс.
26%
24°C
$39 Обс.
8%
25°C
$59 Обс.
1%
26°C or higher
$59 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over southern England, sustained by high pressure and southerly flow, supporting minimum temperatures in London near 21–23 °C on 14 August. Clear skies promote nocturnal radiative cooling, yet light winds limit mixing and keep lows from falling sharply, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight wind shift could trim the minimum by 1–2 °C. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values and underscoring the sensitivity of overnight lows to small changes in boundary-layer conditions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,144Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over southern England, sustained by high pressure and southerly flow, supporting minimum temperatures in London near 21–23 °C on 14 August. Clear skies promote nocturnal radiative cooling, yet light winds limit mixing and keep lows from falling sharply, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight wind shift could trim the minimum by 1–2 °C. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values and underscoring the sensitivity of overnight lows to small changes in boundary-layer conditions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,144Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over southern England, sustained by high pressure and southerly flow, supporting minimum temperatures in London near 21–23 °C on 14 August. Clear skies promote nocturnal radiative cooling, yet light winds limit mixing and keep lows from falling sharply, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight wind shift could trim the minimum by 1–2 °C. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values and underscoring the sensitivity of overnight lows to small changes in boundary-layer conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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