Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Denver indicate a daytime high near 92–93°F on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with isolated late-day thunderstorms possible, aligning closely with the market’s leading 92–93°F bin at 43% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and downslope warming have sustained above-normal temperatures following early-August heat that produced record 102°F readings on August 3, yet a gradual shift toward more moisture and slightly lower 500-hPa heights is expected to cap maximums in the low-to-mid 90s. Model consensus from the NWS and global ensembles shows limited upside risk above 95°F and only modest downside to the low 90s, keeping the 90–95°F range dominant while underscoring typical late-summer forecast uncertainty from convective timing and boundary-layer mixing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Denver on August 12?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 12?
92-93°F 43%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 22%
96-97°F 8%
НОВЕ
$11,373 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,373 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
22%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 43%
94-95°F 28%
90-91°F 22%
96-97°F 8%
НОВЕ
$11,373 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,373 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
87°F or below
$1,525 Обс.
1%
88-89°F
$1,721 Обс.
4%
90-91°F
$1,998 Обс.
22%
92-93°F
$1,135 Обс.
43%
94-95°F
$2,201 Обс.
28%
96-97°F
$982 Обс.
8%
98-99°F
$538 Обс.
<1%
100-101°F
$136 Обс.
<1%
102-103°F
$376 Обс.
1%
104-105°F
$376 Обс.
<1%
106°F or higher
$386 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Denver indicate a daytime high near 92–93°F on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with isolated late-day thunderstorms possible, aligning closely with the market’s leading 92–93°F bin at 43% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and downslope warming have sustained above-normal temperatures following early-August heat that produced record 102°F readings on August 3, yet a gradual shift toward more moisture and slightly lower 500-hPa heights is expected to cap maximums in the low-to-mid 90s. Model consensus from the NWS and global ensembles shows limited upside risk above 95°F and only modest downside to the low 90s, keeping the 90–95°F range dominant while underscoring typical late-summer forecast uncertainty from convective timing and boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$11,373Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Denver indicate a daytime high near 92–93°F on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with isolated late-day thunderstorms possible, aligning closely with the market’s leading 92–93°F bin at 43% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and downslope warming have sustained above-normal temperatures following early-August heat that produced record 102°F readings on August 3, yet a gradual shift toward more moisture and slightly lower 500-hPa heights is expected to cap maximums in the low-to-mid 90s. Model consensus from the NWS and global ensembles shows limited upside risk above 95°F and only modest downside to the low 90s, keeping the 90–95°F range dominant while underscoring typical late-summer forecast uncertainty from convective timing and boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,373Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Denver indicate a daytime high near 92–93°F on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with isolated late-day thunderstorms possible, aligning closely with the market’s leading 92–93°F bin at 43% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and downslope warming have sustained above-normal temperatures following early-August heat that produced record 102°F readings on August 3, yet a gradual shift toward more moisture and slightly lower 500-hPa heights is expected to cap maximums in the low-to-mid 90s. Model consensus from the NWS and global ensembles shows limited upside risk above 95°F and only modest downside to the low 90s, keeping the 90–95°F range dominant while underscoring typical late-summer forecast uncertainty from convective timing and boundary-layer mixing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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