Persistent marine layer conditions along the California coast continue to moderate temperatures in San Francisco, with the cool, moist onshore flow from the Pacific keeping daily highs near or slightly above seasonal norms around 70°F. Recent model guidance shows a compressed or lingering layer through the morning, limiting afternoon warming and creating close competition between the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins as the primary resolution thresholds. Subtle differences in wind patterns, layer depth, and any localized clearing will determine whether peak readings edge higher, while typical August variability and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging support the tight market distribution across these outcomes. Updated National Weather Service forecasts this afternoon will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 12?
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 32%
68-69°F 15%
74-75°F 10%
$23,896 Обс.
$23,896 Обс.
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 32%
68-69°F 15%
74-75°F 10%
$23,896 Обс.
$23,896 Обс.
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer conditions along the California coast continue to moderate temperatures in San Francisco, with the cool, moist onshore flow from the Pacific keeping daily highs near or slightly above seasonal norms around 70°F. Recent model guidance shows a compressed or lingering layer through the morning, limiting afternoon warming and creating close competition between the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins as the primary resolution thresholds. Subtle differences in wind patterns, layer depth, and any localized clearing will determine whether peak readings edge higher, while typical August variability and the absence of strong high-pressure ridging support the tight market distribution across these outcomes. Updated National Weather Service forecasts this afternoon will provide the final observational data for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання