Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a daily maximum near 32–33°C on August 15, shaped by the region's subtropical monsoon regime where scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover are expected to reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. High boundary-layer humidity above 75% and frequent convective cells typical of August limit extreme peaks, keeping outcomes above 35°C or below 30°C at low implied probabilities. Model guidance shows broad agreement on weak steering flow and no strong high-pressure ridge to promote clear-sky heating, though small shifts in timing or coverage of showers could tip the highest reading by 1°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 15?
32°C 27%
33°C 24%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
14%
32°C
27%
33°C
24%
34°C
16%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 27%
33°C 24%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
$819 Обс.
1%
28°C
$649 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$69 Обс.
2%
30°C
$3 Обс.
7%
31°C
$8 Обс.
14%
32°C
$70 Обс.
27%
33°C
$67 Обс.
24%
34°C
$6 Обс.
16%
35°C
$18 Обс.
6%
36°C
$330 Обс.
2%
37°C or higher
$22 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a daily maximum near 32–33°C on August 15, shaped by the region's subtropical monsoon regime where scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover are expected to reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. High boundary-layer humidity above 75% and frequent convective cells typical of August limit extreme peaks, keeping outcomes above 35°C or below 30°C at low implied probabilities. Model guidance shows broad agreement on weak steering flow and no strong high-pressure ridge to promote clear-sky heating, though small shifts in timing or coverage of showers could tip the highest reading by 1°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,060Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a daily maximum near 32–33°C on August 15, shaped by the region's subtropical monsoon regime where scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover are expected to reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. High boundary-layer humidity above 75% and frequent convective cells typical of August limit extreme peaks, keeping outcomes above 35°C or below 30°C at low implied probabilities. Model guidance shows broad agreement on weak steering flow and no strong high-pressure ridge to promote clear-sky heating, though small shifts in timing or coverage of showers could tip the highest reading by 1°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,060Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to a daily maximum near 32–33°C on August 15, shaped by the region's subtropical monsoon regime where scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover are expected to reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. High boundary-layer humidity above 75% and frequent convective cells typical of August limit extreme peaks, keeping outcomes above 35°C or below 30°C at low implied probabilities. Model guidance shows broad agreement on weak steering flow and no strong high-pressure ridge to promote clear-sky heating, though small shifts in timing or coverage of showers could tip the highest reading by 1°C. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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