Recent National Weather Service and model guidance highlight increased cloud cover and thunderstorm chances as the main driver keeping Chicago's August 13 high temperature outlook centered in the mid-70s. A pattern favoring rounds of showers has reduced daytime heating potential compared with seasonal normals near 83°F, with consensus forecasts clustering around 76–79°F. This aligns closely with market-implied odds favoring 76–77°F at 29% and nearby bins, reflecting traders' assessment of ensemble spread and the narrow window before resolution. Key variables include steering flow strength and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming spikes into the low 80s. Updated NWS briefings and model runs expected overnight will provide the final calibration ahead of the daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on August 13?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 13?
76-77°F 32%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 24%
80-81°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 32%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 24%
80-81°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
67°F or below
$100 Обс.
1%
68-69°F
$5 Обс.
1%
70-71°F
$69 Обс.
6%
72-73°F
$135 Обс.
5%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
24%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
32%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
24%
80-81°F
$192 Обс.
9%
82-83°F
$6 Обс.
3%
84-85°F
$53 Обс.
2%
86°F or higher
$80 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance highlight increased cloud cover and thunderstorm chances as the main driver keeping Chicago's August 13 high temperature outlook centered in the mid-70s. A pattern favoring rounds of showers has reduced daytime heating potential compared with seasonal normals near 83°F, with consensus forecasts clustering around 76–79°F. This aligns closely with market-implied odds favoring 76–77°F at 29% and nearby bins, reflecting traders' assessment of ensemble spread and the narrow window before resolution. Key variables include steering flow strength and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming spikes into the low 80s. Updated NWS briefings and model runs expected overnight will provide the final calibration ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$640Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance highlight increased cloud cover and thunderstorm chances as the main driver keeping Chicago's August 13 high temperature outlook centered in the mid-70s. A pattern favoring rounds of showers has reduced daytime heating potential compared with seasonal normals near 83°F, with consensus forecasts clustering around 76–79°F. This aligns closely with market-implied odds favoring 76–77°F at 29% and nearby bins, reflecting traders' assessment of ensemble spread and the narrow window before resolution. Key variables include steering flow strength and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming spikes into the low 80s. Updated NWS briefings and model runs expected overnight will provide the final calibration ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$640Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance highlight increased cloud cover and thunderstorm chances as the main driver keeping Chicago's August 13 high temperature outlook centered in the mid-70s. A pattern favoring rounds of showers has reduced daytime heating potential compared with seasonal normals near 83°F, with consensus forecasts clustering around 76–79°F. This aligns closely with market-implied odds favoring 76–77°F at 29% and nearby bins, reflecting traders' assessment of ensemble spread and the narrow window before resolution. Key variables include steering flow strength and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming spikes into the low 80s. Updated NWS briefings and model runs expected overnight will provide the final calibration ahead of the daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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