Recent KMA short-range guidance indicates a minimum temperature near 25°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 14 amid mostly cloudy skies, supporting the tight market clustering around 24–25°C. Persistent high humidity and light winds from the northeast are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while daytime heat buildup from the ongoing summer pattern raises the floor for overnight lows. Model spreads reflect modest uncertainty in cloud timing and thickness, with clearer breaks potentially allowing a dip to 24°C and thicker overcast holding values at or above 25°C. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight minima of 23–24°C, but current steering patterns and residual heatwave moisture favor the slightly elevated range reflected in trader consensus. Final KMA updates and 3-hourly observations on the 13th–14th will refine resolution.