Persistent high-pressure systems and above-normal Red Sea sea-surface temperatures are sustaining daytime maxima near or above 40°C in Jeddah, aligning with National Center for Meteorology seasonal outlooks projecting 1–2°C above-average temperatures through August 2026. Recent regional model runs and historical August climatology (typical maxima 37–39°C, occasional peaks exceeding 42°C) support the market’s 69% implied probability for 40°C or higher on the 15th, while weaker steering winds and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling and reinforce trader consensus around that threshold. Updated forecasts over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 15?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 15?
40°C or higher 67%
39°C 17%
38°C 10%
37°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
6%
38°C
10%
39°C
17%
40°C or higher
67%
40°C or higher 67%
39°C 17%
38°C 10%
37°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
$362 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$372 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$372 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$86 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$43 Обс.
1%
35°C
$28 Обс.
1%
36°C
$24 Обс.
1%
37°C
$45 Обс.
6%
38°C
$71 Обс.
10%
39°C
$27 Обс.
17%
40°C or higher
$280 Обс.
67%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems and above-normal Red Sea sea-surface temperatures are sustaining daytime maxima near or above 40°C in Jeddah, aligning with National Center for Meteorology seasonal outlooks projecting 1–2°C above-average temperatures through August 2026. Recent regional model runs and historical August climatology (typical maxima 37–39°C, occasional peaks exceeding 42°C) support the market’s 69% implied probability for 40°C or higher on the 15th, while weaker steering winds and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling and reinforce trader consensus around that threshold. Updated forecasts over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,710Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems and above-normal Red Sea sea-surface temperatures are sustaining daytime maxima near or above 40°C in Jeddah, aligning with National Center for Meteorology seasonal outlooks projecting 1–2°C above-average temperatures through August 2026. Recent regional model runs and historical August climatology (typical maxima 37–39°C, occasional peaks exceeding 42°C) support the market’s 69% implied probability for 40°C or higher on the 15th, while weaker steering winds and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling and reinforce trader consensus around that threshold. Updated forecasts over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,710Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure systems and above-normal Red Sea sea-surface temperatures are sustaining daytime maxima near or above 40°C in Jeddah, aligning with National Center for Meteorology seasonal outlooks projecting 1–2°C above-average temperatures through August 2026. Recent regional model runs and historical August climatology (typical maxima 37–39°C, occasional peaks exceeding 42°C) support the market’s 69% implied probability for 40°C or higher on the 15th, while weaker steering winds and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling and reinforce trader consensus around that threshold. Updated forecasts over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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