Current forecasts for Qingdao on August 13 indicate maximum temperatures near 30–31°C as the primary driver of market-implied odds, with cloud cover and Yellow Sea breezes moderating daytime heating. Coastal sea-surface temperatures around 26–28°C fuel afternoon sea breezes that frequently cap peaks 1–3°C below inland expectations, while persistent overcast conditions limit solar insolation. Ensemble models show tight clustering around these values due to minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing, explaining the near-even split between 30°C and 31°C outcomes versus lower probabilities for 29°C or 32°C. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context, though short-term model updates on cloud evolution could shift resolution thresholds before the daily high is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 13?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 13?
30°C 37%
31°C 33%
29°C 16%
32°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
37%
31°C
33%
32°C
9%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 33%
29°C 16%
32°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
$107 Обс.
1%
27°C
$81 Обс.
1%
28°C
$820 Обс.
6%
29°C
$434 Обс.
16%
30°C
$2,985 Обс.
37%
31°C
$1,049 Обс.
33%
32°C
$2,286 Обс.
9%
33°C
$246 Обс.
3%
34°C
$97 Обс.
1%
35°C
$115 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$252 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Qingdao on August 13 indicate maximum temperatures near 30–31°C as the primary driver of market-implied odds, with cloud cover and Yellow Sea breezes moderating daytime heating. Coastal sea-surface temperatures around 26–28°C fuel afternoon sea breezes that frequently cap peaks 1–3°C below inland expectations, while persistent overcast conditions limit solar insolation. Ensemble models show tight clustering around these values due to minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing, explaining the near-even split between 30°C and 31°C outcomes versus lower probabilities for 29°C or 32°C. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context, though short-term model updates on cloud evolution could shift resolution thresholds before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,472Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Qingdao on August 13 indicate maximum temperatures near 30–31°C as the primary driver of market-implied odds, with cloud cover and Yellow Sea breezes moderating daytime heating. Coastal sea-surface temperatures around 26–28°C fuel afternoon sea breezes that frequently cap peaks 1–3°C below inland expectations, while persistent overcast conditions limit solar insolation. Ensemble models show tight clustering around these values due to minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing, explaining the near-even split between 30°C and 31°C outcomes versus lower probabilities for 29°C or 32°C. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context, though short-term model updates on cloud evolution could shift resolution thresholds before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,472Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Qingdao on August 13 indicate maximum temperatures near 30–31°C as the primary driver of market-implied odds, with cloud cover and Yellow Sea breezes moderating daytime heating. Coastal sea-surface temperatures around 26–28°C fuel afternoon sea breezes that frequently cap peaks 1–3°C below inland expectations, while persistent overcast conditions limit solar insolation. Ensemble models show tight clustering around these values due to minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing, explaining the near-even split between 30°C and 31°C outcomes versus lower probabilities for 29°C or 32°C. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide baseline context, though short-term model updates on cloud evolution could shift resolution thresholds before the daily high is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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