Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the ECMWF and Met Office show Istanbul’s August 15 maximum stabilizing near 26 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow that promotes mixing and curbs afternoon heating across the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer moisture introduce minor spread, keeping the 25–27 °C window dominant while limiting upside potential for 28 °C or higher. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, producing the observed concentration of probability around 26 °C and the rapid decay in tails below 24 °C or above 28 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 15?
26°C 59%
25°C 24%
27°C 12%
24°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
24%
26°C
59%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 59%
25°C 24%
27°C 12%
24°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$97 Обс.
1%
23°C
$123 Обс.
2%
24°C
$225 Обс.
6%
25°C
$126 Обс.
24%
26°C
$617 Обс.
59%
27°C
$54 Обс.
12%
28°C
$344 Обс.
3%
29°C
$52 Обс.
1%
30°C
$12 Обс.
2%
31°C
$12 Обс.
2%
32°C or higher
$115 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the ECMWF and Met Office show Istanbul’s August 15 maximum stabilizing near 26 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow that promotes mixing and curbs afternoon heating across the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer moisture introduce minor spread, keeping the 25–27 °C window dominant while limiting upside potential for 28 °C or higher. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, producing the observed concentration of probability around 26 °C and the rapid decay in tails below 24 °C or above 28 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,776Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the ECMWF and Met Office show Istanbul’s August 15 maximum stabilizing near 26 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow that promotes mixing and curbs afternoon heating across the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer moisture introduce minor spread, keeping the 25–27 °C window dominant while limiting upside potential for 28 °C or higher. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, producing the observed concentration of probability around 26 °C and the rapid decay in tails below 24 °C or above 28 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,776Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the ECMWF and Met Office show Istanbul’s August 15 maximum stabilizing near 26 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow that promotes mixing and curbs afternoon heating across the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer moisture introduce minor spread, keeping the 25–27 °C window dominant while limiting upside potential for 28 °C or higher. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily, producing the observed concentration of probability around 26 °C and the rapid decay in tails below 24 °C or above 28 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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