Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts highlight a fifth summer heatwave peaking on August 13, with high pressure advecting warm continental air under mostly sunny skies to drive London maxima near 34–36°C. Model consensus centers on this range, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and local urban heat-island effects create the tight 35–36°C market split; stronger insolation or reduced wind could push toward 37°C while any Atlantic moisture intrusion would cap readings lower. Updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of official verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 13?
Highest temperature in London on August 13?
36°C 37%
35°C 33%
37°C 17%
34°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
33%
36°C
37%
37°C
17%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
35°C 33%
37°C 17%
34°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
30°C or below
$2,697 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$729 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$158 Обс.
3%
33°C
$455 Обс.
4%
34°C
$302 Обс.
11%
35°C
$1,197 Обс.
33%
36°C
$933 Обс.
37%
37°C
$79 Обс.
17%
38°C
$709 Обс.
3%
39°C
$128 Обс.
2%
40°C or higher
$67 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts highlight a fifth summer heatwave peaking on August 13, with high pressure advecting warm continental air under mostly sunny skies to drive London maxima near 34–36°C. Model consensus centers on this range, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and local urban heat-island effects create the tight 35–36°C market split; stronger insolation or reduced wind could push toward 37°C while any Atlantic moisture intrusion would cap readings lower. Updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,454Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts highlight a fifth summer heatwave peaking on August 13, with high pressure advecting warm continental air under mostly sunny skies to drive London maxima near 34–36°C. Model consensus centers on this range, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and local urban heat-island effects create the tight 35–36°C market split; stronger insolation or reduced wind could push toward 37°C while any Atlantic moisture intrusion would cap readings lower. Updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$7,454Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts highlight a fifth summer heatwave peaking on August 13, with high pressure advecting warm continental air under mostly sunny skies to drive London maxima near 34–36°C. Model consensus centers on this range, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and local urban heat-island effects create the tight 35–36°C market split; stronger insolation or reduced wind could push toward 37°C while any Atlantic moisture intrusion would cap readings lower. Updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of official verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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