Recent ensemble forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models point to a 32–33°C peak in Karachi on August 13 amid weak late-monsoon currents and below-normal rainfall, which explains the market's strong tilt toward those bins. Persistent high humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, combined with partly cloudy skies and potential isolated convection, limits afternoon heating while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C support only modest warming. Historical August averages near 31°C and the rarity of extremes above 34°C without organized heatwave setups reinforce trader consensus around this narrow range. Updated model runs and PMD briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the outcome if cloud timing or wind shifts alter insolation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on August 13?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 13?
33°C 48%
32°C 29%
34°C 18%
31°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
29%
33°C
48%
34°C
18%
35°C
4%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 48%
32°C 29%
34°C 18%
31°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
$45 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$31 Обс.
1%
30°C
$299 Обс.
3%
31°C
$115 Обс.
6%
32°C
$166 Обс.
29%
33°C
$289 Обс.
48%
34°C
$267 Обс.
18%
35°C
$5 Обс.
4%
36°C
$12 Обс.
4%
37°C
$12 Обс.
1%
38°C or higher
$147 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models point to a 32–33°C peak in Karachi on August 13 amid weak late-monsoon currents and below-normal rainfall, which explains the market's strong tilt toward those bins. Persistent high humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, combined with partly cloudy skies and potential isolated convection, limits afternoon heating while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C support only modest warming. Historical August averages near 31°C and the rarity of extremes above 34°C without organized heatwave setups reinforce trader consensus around this narrow range. Updated model runs and PMD briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the outcome if cloud timing or wind shifts alter insolation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,388Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models point to a 32–33°C peak in Karachi on August 13 amid weak late-monsoon currents and below-normal rainfall, which explains the market's strong tilt toward those bins. Persistent high humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, combined with partly cloudy skies and potential isolated convection, limits afternoon heating while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C support only modest warming. Historical August averages near 31°C and the rarity of extremes above 34°C without organized heatwave setups reinforce trader consensus around this narrow range. Updated model runs and PMD briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the outcome if cloud timing or wind shifts alter insolation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,388Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models point to a 32–33°C peak in Karachi on August 13 amid weak late-monsoon currents and below-normal rainfall, which explains the market's strong tilt toward those bins. Persistent high humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, combined with partly cloudy skies and potential isolated convection, limits afternoon heating while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C support only modest warming. Historical August averages near 31°C and the rarity of extremes above 34°C without organized heatwave setups reinforce trader consensus around this narrow range. Updated model runs and PMD briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the outcome if cloud timing or wind shifts alter insolation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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