Current short-range numerical weather prediction models from European and Russian meteorological centers show high uncertainty in Moscow's maximum temperature for August 13, with ensemble spreads centering on 15–17°C amid a cooling trend after earlier August warmth. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level advection from a strengthening high-pressure ridge versus possible weak frontal passages introducing cooler maritime air, alongside typical diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow. Historical climatology places mid-August Moscow highs near 22°C, yet recent model runs indicate suppressed temperatures due to increased cloud cover and precipitation chances. Traders weigh these variables against official updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, where small forecast revisions could shift implied probabilities among the tightly grouped outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
16°C 29%
17°C 26%
15°C 24%
14°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
12%
15°C
24%
16°C
29%
17°C
26%
18°C
8%
19°C
4%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
16°C 29%
17°C 26%
15°C 24%
14°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
$10 Обс.
2%
13°C
$28 Обс.
3%
14°C
$34 Обс.
12%
15°C
$50 Обс.
24%
16°C
$121 Обс.
29%
17°C
$101 Обс.
26%
18°C
$269 Обс.
8%
19°C
$29 Обс.
4%
20°C
$147 Обс.
5%
21°C
$12 Обс.
5%
22°C or higher
$12 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range numerical weather prediction models from European and Russian meteorological centers show high uncertainty in Moscow's maximum temperature for August 13, with ensemble spreads centering on 15–17°C amid a cooling trend after earlier August warmth. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level advection from a strengthening high-pressure ridge versus possible weak frontal passages introducing cooler maritime air, alongside typical diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow. Historical climatology places mid-August Moscow highs near 22°C, yet recent model runs indicate suppressed temperatures due to increased cloud cover and precipitation chances. Traders weigh these variables against official updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, where small forecast revisions could shift implied probabilities among the tightly grouped outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$793Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range numerical weather prediction models from European and Russian meteorological centers show high uncertainty in Moscow's maximum temperature for August 13, with ensemble spreads centering on 15–17°C amid a cooling trend after earlier August warmth. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level advection from a strengthening high-pressure ridge versus possible weak frontal passages introducing cooler maritime air, alongside typical diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow. Historical climatology places mid-August Moscow highs near 22°C, yet recent model runs indicate suppressed temperatures due to increased cloud cover and precipitation chances. Traders weigh these variables against official updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, where small forecast revisions could shift implied probabilities among the tightly grouped outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$793Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range numerical weather prediction models from European and Russian meteorological centers show high uncertainty in Moscow's maximum temperature for August 13, with ensemble spreads centering on 15–17°C amid a cooling trend after earlier August warmth. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level advection from a strengthening high-pressure ridge versus possible weak frontal passages introducing cooler maritime air, alongside typical diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and moderate northerly flow. Historical climatology places mid-August Moscow highs near 22°C, yet recent model runs indicate suppressed temperatures due to increased cloud cover and precipitation chances. Traders weigh these variables against official updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, where small forecast revisions could shift implied probabilities among the tightly grouped outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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