Forecast models for Shanghai on August 24 indicate an overnight minimum near 26–27°C, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, elevated dew points around 25–26°C, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple guidance sources project a daily low in this narrow range amid light winds and stable high pressure, with only modest overnight drops expected. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on these parameters while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers that would require atypical wind shifts or clearer skies. Updated short-range runs over the past 24 hours have reinforced this narrow band without introducing major revisions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
27°C 64%
28°C 25%
26°C 10%
25°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
7%
26°C
10%
27°C
64%
28°C
25%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 64%
28°C 25%
26°C 10%
25°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$125 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$211 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$198 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$467 Обс.
7%
26°C
$884 Обс.
10%
27°C
$913 Обс.
64%
28°C
$721 Обс.
25%
29°C
$592 Обс.
1%
30°C
$125 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$201 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$201 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shanghai on August 24 indicate an overnight minimum near 26–27°C, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, elevated dew points around 25–26°C, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple guidance sources project a daily low in this narrow range amid light winds and stable high pressure, with only modest overnight drops expected. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on these parameters while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers that would require atypical wind shifts or clearer skies. Updated short-range runs over the past 24 hours have reinforced this narrow band without introducing major revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,638Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shanghai on August 24 indicate an overnight minimum near 26–27°C, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, elevated dew points around 25–26°C, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple guidance sources project a daily low in this narrow range amid light winds and stable high pressure, with only modest overnight drops expected. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on these parameters while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers that would require atypical wind shifts or clearer skies. Updated short-range runs over the past 24 hours have reinforced this narrow band without introducing major revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,638Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Shanghai on August 24 indicate an overnight minimum near 26–27°C, driven by persistent southeasterly flow, elevated dew points around 25–26°C, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under late-summer subtropical conditions. Multiple guidance sources project a daily low in this narrow range amid light winds and stable high pressure, with only modest overnight drops expected. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on these parameters while assigning lower odds to cooler or warmer outliers that would require atypical wind shifts or clearer skies. Updated short-range runs over the past 24 hours have reinforced this narrow band without introducing major revisions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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