Trader consensus around a 15°C low in Moscow today, carrying the highest implied probability at 40%, stems from the latest ensemble forecasts showing modest radiative cooling under variable high pressure and light winds. Differentiating the closely matched 14–16°C outcomes are small model divergences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which control nighttime heat loss rates, plus minor shifts in air-mass origin from the northwest. These align with typical late-August climatology for the city, where minima often fall in that narrow range absent strong advection. Updated surface observations and refined model runs through the evening will further clarify resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
15°C 40%
14°C 20%
13°C 19%
12°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
5%
12°C
8%
13°C
19%
14°C
20%
15°C
40%
16°C
34%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 40%
14°C 20%
13°C 19%
12°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
10°C or below
$96 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$234 Обс.
5%
12°C
$59 Обс.
8%
13°C
$10 Обс.
19%
14°C
$10 Обс.
20%
15°C
$38 Обс.
40%
16°C
$22 Обс.
34%
17°C
$215 Обс.
1%
18°C
$203 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$138 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$479 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around a 15°C low in Moscow today, carrying the highest implied probability at 40%, stems from the latest ensemble forecasts showing modest radiative cooling under variable high pressure and light winds. Differentiating the closely matched 14–16°C outcomes are small model divergences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which control nighttime heat loss rates, plus minor shifts in air-mass origin from the northwest. These align with typical late-August climatology for the city, where minima often fall in that narrow range absent strong advection. Updated surface observations and refined model runs through the evening will further clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,504Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around a 15°C low in Moscow today, carrying the highest implied probability at 40%, stems from the latest ensemble forecasts showing modest radiative cooling under variable high pressure and light winds. Differentiating the closely matched 14–16°C outcomes are small model divergences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which control nighttime heat loss rates, plus minor shifts in air-mass origin from the northwest. These align with typical late-August climatology for the city, where minima often fall in that narrow range absent strong advection. Updated surface observations and refined model runs through the evening will further clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,504Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around a 15°C low in Moscow today, carrying the highest implied probability at 40%, stems from the latest ensemble forecasts showing modest radiative cooling under variable high pressure and light winds. Differentiating the closely matched 14–16°C outcomes are small model divergences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which control nighttime heat loss rates, plus minor shifts in air-mass origin from the northwest. These align with typical late-August climatology for the city, where minima often fall in that narrow range absent strong advection. Updated surface observations and refined model runs through the evening will further clarify resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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