Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon are limiting overnight radiative cooling across Chengdu, anchoring the minimum temperature near 24–25°C on August 23. Official forecasts align with this range, showing typical summer lows of 22–26°C under similar conditions where high moisture and cloud decks trap heat near the surface. Trader consensus, reflected in the 79% implied probability for 25°C, incorporates these factors alongside historical August baselines, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent clear skies that would enable sharper drops. Updated model runs from regional meteorological agencies continue to support this narrow band ahead of overnight observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 23?
25°C 94%
22°C 30%
23°C 18%
24°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
30%
23°C
18%
24°C
23%
25°C
79%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 94%
22°C 30%
23°C 18%
24°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
$145 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$142 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$284 Обс.
1%
22°C
$112 Обс.
30%
23°C
$80 Обс.
18%
24°C
$62 Обс.
23%
25°C
$137 Обс.
79%
26°C
$162 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$217 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$150 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$194 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon are limiting overnight radiative cooling across Chengdu, anchoring the minimum temperature near 24–25°C on August 23. Official forecasts align with this range, showing typical summer lows of 22–26°C under similar conditions where high moisture and cloud decks trap heat near the surface. Trader consensus, reflected in the 79% implied probability for 25°C, incorporates these factors alongside historical August baselines, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent clear skies that would enable sharper drops. Updated model runs from regional meteorological agencies continue to support this narrow band ahead of overnight observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,684Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon are limiting overnight radiative cooling across Chengdu, anchoring the minimum temperature near 24–25°C on August 23. Official forecasts align with this range, showing typical summer lows of 22–26°C under similar conditions where high moisture and cloud decks trap heat near the surface. Trader consensus, reflected in the 79% implied probability for 25°C, incorporates these factors alongside historical August baselines, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent clear skies that would enable sharper drops. Updated model runs from regional meteorological agencies continue to support this narrow band ahead of overnight observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,684Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity from the East Asian monsoon are limiting overnight radiative cooling across Chengdu, anchoring the minimum temperature near 24–25°C on August 23. Official forecasts align with this range, showing typical summer lows of 22–26°C under similar conditions where high moisture and cloud decks trap heat near the surface. Trader consensus, reflected in the 79% implied probability for 25°C, incorporates these factors alongside historical August baselines, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent clear skies that would enable sharper drops. Updated model runs from regional meteorological agencies continue to support this narrow band ahead of overnight observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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