Trader consensus centers on 33°C as Tel Aviv’s peak temperature today, driven by stable summer high-pressure patterns and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that limit afternoon heating to near seasonal norms. Ensemble forecasts from regional models show consistent maxima in the low- to mid-30s, with only modest urban heat-island effects or brief wind shifts potentially nudging readings to 34°C. Current surface observations indicate no strong Saharan air intrusion or anomalous subsidence that would support higher thresholds, keeping 35°C and above at negligible implied odds. Official Israel Meteorological Service station data will resolve the market, with intraday updates likely to refine probabilities as the diurnal cycle peaks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
33°C 64%
34°C 28%
32°C 5%
35°C <1%
$19,799 Обс.
$19,799 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
64%
34°C
28%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 64%
34°C 28%
32°C 5%
35°C <1%
$19,799 Обс.
$19,799 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
$488 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$1,763 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$2,675 Обс.
5%
33°C
$6,125 Обс.
64%
34°C
$3,027 Обс.
28%
35°C
$1,493 Обс.
1%
36°C
$1,163 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$1,167 Обс.
<1%
38°C
$945 Обс.
<1%
39°C
$288 Обс.
<1%
40°C or higher
$666 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 33°C as Tel Aviv’s peak temperature today, driven by stable summer high-pressure patterns and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that limit afternoon heating to near seasonal norms. Ensemble forecasts from regional models show consistent maxima in the low- to mid-30s, with only modest urban heat-island effects or brief wind shifts potentially nudging readings to 34°C. Current surface observations indicate no strong Saharan air intrusion or anomalous subsidence that would support higher thresholds, keeping 35°C and above at negligible implied odds. Official Israel Meteorological Service station data will resolve the market, with intraday updates likely to refine probabilities as the diurnal cycle peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,799Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 33°C as Tel Aviv’s peak temperature today, driven by stable summer high-pressure patterns and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that limit afternoon heating to near seasonal norms. Ensemble forecasts from regional models show consistent maxima in the low- to mid-30s, with only modest urban heat-island effects or brief wind shifts potentially nudging readings to 34°C. Current surface observations indicate no strong Saharan air intrusion or anomalous subsidence that would support higher thresholds, keeping 35°C and above at negligible implied odds. Official Israel Meteorological Service station data will resolve the market, with intraday updates likely to refine probabilities as the diurnal cycle peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$19,799Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 33°C as Tel Aviv’s peak temperature today, driven by stable summer high-pressure patterns and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that limit afternoon heating to near seasonal norms. Ensemble forecasts from regional models show consistent maxima in the low- to mid-30s, with only modest urban heat-island effects or brief wind shifts potentially nudging readings to 34°C. Current surface observations indicate no strong Saharan air intrusion or anomalous subsidence that would support higher thresholds, keeping 35°C and above at negligible implied odds. Official Israel Meteorological Service station data will resolve the market, with intraday updates likely to refine probabilities as the diurnal cycle peaks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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