Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum of 16°C for London on August 16, 2026, amid a cooling trend from peak heat earlier in the week, with daytime highs near 26°C under mostly settled high-pressure conditions. This aligns with climatological August lows around 13–14°C but reflects lingering warmth from recent anticyclonic patterns that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. Ensemble model spreads introduce modest uncertainty in exact overnight minima, favoring trader consensus around 17°C as the modal outcome while keeping 16°C and 18°C competitive. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 16?
Lowest temperature in London on August 16?
17°C 41%
18°C 21%
16°C 14%
19°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
14°C or below
3%
15°C
9%
16°C
14%
17°C
41%
18°C
21%
19°C
10%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
17°C 41%
18°C 21%
16°C 14%
19°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
3%
15°C
$0 Обс.
9%
16°C
$0 Обс.
14%
17°C
$0 Обс.
41%
18°C
$12 Обс.
21%
19°C
$0 Обс.
10%
20°C
$5 Обс.
6%
21°C
$5 Обс.
1%
22°C
$10 Обс.
1%
23°C
$20 Обс.
1%
24°C or higher
$20 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum of 16°C for London on August 16, 2026, amid a cooling trend from peak heat earlier in the week, with daytime highs near 26°C under mostly settled high-pressure conditions. This aligns with climatological August lows around 13–14°C but reflects lingering warmth from recent anticyclonic patterns that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. Ensemble model spreads introduce modest uncertainty in exact overnight minima, favoring trader consensus around 17°C as the modal outcome while keeping 16°C and 18°C competitive. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$72Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum of 16°C for London on August 16, 2026, amid a cooling trend from peak heat earlier in the week, with daytime highs near 26°C under mostly settled high-pressure conditions. This aligns with climatological August lows around 13–14°C but reflects lingering warmth from recent anticyclonic patterns that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. Ensemble model spreads introduce modest uncertainty in exact overnight minima, favoring trader consensus around 17°C as the modal outcome while keeping 16°C and 18°C competitive. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$72Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum of 16°C for London on August 16, 2026, amid a cooling trend from peak heat earlier in the week, with daytime highs near 26°C under mostly settled high-pressure conditions. This aligns with climatological August lows around 13–14°C but reflects lingering warmth from recent anticyclonic patterns that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. Ensemble model spreads introduce modest uncertainty in exact overnight minima, favoring trader consensus around 17°C as the modal outcome while keeping 16°C and 18°C competitive. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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