**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Karachi on August 16, 2026, centers on 31–33 °C, with 32 °C holding the clearest plurality at 49.5 % implied probability.** This distribution mirrors long-term climatological averages for mid-August, when daytime maxima typically reach 31–32 °C amid the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and occasional showers—driven by moist onshore flow from the Arabian Sea—limit radiative heating and keep extremes rare. Recent observational data through mid-August 2026 show actual highs in the 29–32 °C range, consistent with model guidance from regional forecasts projecting similar conditions through the 16th. Monsoon dynamics introduce modest uncertainty: stronger convective activity could cap the peak near 31 °C, while clearer breaks might allow 33 °C. Historical records indicate August maxima above 35 °C are infrequent in Karachi, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 34 °C and higher. With resolution only two days away, fresh runs from global and regional models plus any updated monsoon rainfall outlooks will be the key catalysts likely to refine these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on August 16?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 16?
32°C 51%
31°C 23%
33°C 22%
30°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
11%
31°C
23%
32°C
51%
33°C
22%
34°C
5%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 51%
31°C 23%
33°C 22%
30°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
$5 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$5 Обс.
1%
29°C
$59 Обс.
8%
30°C
$0 Обс.
11%
31°C
$44 Обс.
23%
32°C
$36 Обс.
51%
33°C
$0 Обс.
22%
34°C
$0 Обс.
5%
35°C
$10 Обс.
7%
36°C
$10 Обс.
4%
37°C or higher
$20 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Karachi on August 16, 2026, centers on 31–33 °C, with 32 °C holding the clearest plurality at 49.5 % implied probability.** This distribution mirrors long-term climatological averages for mid-August, when daytime maxima typically reach 31–32 °C amid the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and occasional showers—driven by moist onshore flow from the Arabian Sea—limit radiative heating and keep extremes rare. Recent observational data through mid-August 2026 show actual highs in the 29–32 °C range, consistent with model guidance from regional forecasts projecting similar conditions through the 16th.
Monsoon dynamics introduce modest uncertainty: stronger convective activity could cap the peak near 31 °C, while clearer breaks might allow 33 °C. Historical records indicate August maxima above 35 °C are infrequent in Karachi, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 34 °C and higher. With resolution only two days away, fresh runs from global and regional models plus any updated monsoon rainfall outlooks will be the key catalysts likely to refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$189Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Karachi on August 16, 2026, centers on 31–33 °C, with 32 °C holding the clearest plurality at 49.5 % implied probability.** This distribution mirrors long-term climatological averages for mid-August, when daytime maxima typically reach 31–32 °C amid the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and occasional showers—driven by moist onshore flow from the Arabian Sea—limit radiative heating and keep extremes rare. Recent observational data through mid-August 2026 show actual highs in the 29–32 °C range, consistent with model guidance from regional forecasts projecting similar conditions through the 16th.
Monsoon dynamics introduce modest uncertainty: stronger convective activity could cap the peak near 31 °C, while clearer breaks might allow 33 °C. Historical records indicate August maxima above 35 °C are infrequent in Karachi, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 34 °C and higher. With resolution only two days away, fresh runs from global and regional models plus any updated monsoon rainfall outlooks will be the key catalysts likely to refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$189Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Karachi on August 16, 2026, centers on 31–33 °C, with 32 °C holding the clearest plurality at 49.5 % implied probability.** This distribution mirrors long-term climatological averages for mid-August, when daytime maxima typically reach 31–32 °C amid the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and occasional showers—driven by moist onshore flow from the Arabian Sea—limit radiative heating and keep extremes rare. Recent observational data through mid-August 2026 show actual highs in the 29–32 °C range, consistent with model guidance from regional forecasts projecting similar conditions through the 16th. Monsoon dynamics introduce modest uncertainty: stronger convective activity could cap the peak near 31 °C, while clearer breaks might allow 33 °C. Historical records indicate August maxima above 35 °C are infrequent in Karachi, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 34 °C and higher. With resolution only two days away, fresh runs from global and regional models plus any updated monsoon rainfall outlooks will be the key catalysts likely to refine these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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