Recent Met Office guidance points to a 28°C high for London on August 15 amid the tail end of a multi-day heatwave, with high pressure and southerly flow sustaining warmth. Trader sentiment clustering around 26–27°C reflects ensemble model spread, including potential for increased cloud cover, Atlantic frontal influences, or slightly stronger mixing that could trim peak values by 1–2°C. Key variables include evolving boundary-layer moisture, diurnal wind shifts, and urban heat-island effects, all of which introduce realistic uncertainty at this lead time. Updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours, plus any revised steering patterns, will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 15?
Highest temperature in London on August 15?
26°C 34%
27°C 31%
25°C 15%
28°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
15%
26°C
34%
27°C
31%
28°C
13%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 34%
27°C 31%
25°C 15%
28°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$710 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$489 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$258 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$90 Обс.
1%
24°C
$540 Обс.
6%
25°C
$861 Обс.
15%
26°C
$890 Обс.
34%
27°C
$1,083 Обс.
31%
28°C
$467 Обс.
13%
29°C
$626 Обс.
3%
30°C or higher
$353 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a 28°C high for London on August 15 amid the tail end of a multi-day heatwave, with high pressure and southerly flow sustaining warmth. Trader sentiment clustering around 26–27°C reflects ensemble model spread, including potential for increased cloud cover, Atlantic frontal influences, or slightly stronger mixing that could trim peak values by 1–2°C. Key variables include evolving boundary-layer moisture, diurnal wind shifts, and urban heat-island effects, all of which introduce realistic uncertainty at this lead time. Updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours, plus any revised steering patterns, will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,367Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a 28°C high for London on August 15 amid the tail end of a multi-day heatwave, with high pressure and southerly flow sustaining warmth. Trader sentiment clustering around 26–27°C reflects ensemble model spread, including potential for increased cloud cover, Atlantic frontal influences, or slightly stronger mixing that could trim peak values by 1–2°C. Key variables include evolving boundary-layer moisture, diurnal wind shifts, and urban heat-island effects, all of which introduce realistic uncertainty at this lead time. Updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours, plus any revised steering patterns, will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,367Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a 28°C high for London on August 15 amid the tail end of a multi-day heatwave, with high pressure and southerly flow sustaining warmth. Trader sentiment clustering around 26–27°C reflects ensemble model spread, including potential for increased cloud cover, Atlantic frontal influences, or slightly stronger mixing that could trim peak values by 1–2°C. Key variables include evolving boundary-layer moisture, diurnal wind shifts, and urban heat-island effects, all of which introduce realistic uncertainty at this lead time. Updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours, plus any revised steering patterns, will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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