Recent forecasts from major models indicate Madrid's daily maximum on August 15 will likely fall between 33–36 °C under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies typical of midsummer continental conditions. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing among ECMWF and GFS runs create the tight clustering around 33 °C and 34 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–33 °C, with occasional spikes above 35 °C during heat episodes, but no extreme heatwave is currently signaled. Updated model guidance and any last-minute synoptic shifts will be the key near-term drivers of market movement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 15?
33°C 37%
34°C 30%
35°C 15%
32°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
11%
33°C
37%
34°C
30%
35°C
15%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
33°C 37%
34°C 30%
35°C 15%
32°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
$14 Обс.
1%
31°C
$10 Обс.
3%
32°C
$336 Обс.
11%
33°C
$184 Обс.
37%
34°C
$353 Обс.
30%
35°C
$114 Обс.
15%
36°C
$281 Обс.
10%
37°C
$20 Обс.
2%
38°C
$43 Обс.
1%
39°C
$20 Обс.
1%
40°C or higher
$84 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models indicate Madrid's daily maximum on August 15 will likely fall between 33–36 °C under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies typical of midsummer continental conditions. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing among ECMWF and GFS runs create the tight clustering around 33 °C and 34 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–33 °C, with occasional spikes above 35 °C during heat episodes, but no extreme heatwave is currently signaled. Updated model guidance and any last-minute synoptic shifts will be the key near-term drivers of market movement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,460Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models indicate Madrid's daily maximum on August 15 will likely fall between 33–36 °C under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies typical of midsummer continental conditions. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing among ECMWF and GFS runs create the tight clustering around 33 °C and 34 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–33 °C, with occasional spikes above 35 °C during heat episodes, but no extreme heatwave is currently signaled. Updated model guidance and any last-minute synoptic shifts will be the key near-term drivers of market movement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,460Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models indicate Madrid's daily maximum on August 15 will likely fall between 33–36 °C under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies typical of midsummer continental conditions. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing among ECMWF and GFS runs create the tight clustering around 33 °C and 34 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–33 °C, with occasional spikes above 35 °C during heat episodes, but no extreme heatwave is currently signaled. Updated model guidance and any last-minute synoptic shifts will be the key near-term drivers of market movement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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