Recent National Weather Service and model guidance, including AccuWeather and ensemble runs, point to a mild overnight period for New York City on August 16, with dew points in the mid-to-upper 60s and light winds limiting radiative cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering in the 68–73 °F range, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on 70–73 °F outcomes. August climatology shows Central Park overnight lows averaging near 68 °F, but a broader seasonal signal for above-normal temperatures has kept the risk of stronger cooling low. No significant cold-air advection or clear, dry conditions favoring sharp drops appear in the short-range forecast, anchoring trader consensus around these levels ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on August 16?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 16?
72-73°F 54%
70-71°F 33%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
33%
72-73°F
54%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 54%
70-71°F 33%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
63°F or below
$5 Обс.
1%
64-65°F
$5 Обс.
4%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
7%
68-69°F
$75 Обс.
12%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
33%
72-73°F
$5 Обс.
54%
74-75°F
$40 Обс.
16%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
4%
78-79°F
$5 Обс.
2%
80-81°F
$5 Обс.
1%
82°F or higher
$5 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance, including AccuWeather and ensemble runs, point to a mild overnight period for New York City on August 16, with dew points in the mid-to-upper 60s and light winds limiting radiative cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering in the 68–73 °F range, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on 70–73 °F outcomes. August climatology shows Central Park overnight lows averaging near 68 °F, but a broader seasonal signal for above-normal temperatures has kept the risk of stronger cooling low. No significant cold-air advection or clear, dry conditions favoring sharp drops appear in the short-range forecast, anchoring trader consensus around these levels ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$145Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance, including AccuWeather and ensemble runs, point to a mild overnight period for New York City on August 16, with dew points in the mid-to-upper 60s and light winds limiting radiative cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering in the 68–73 °F range, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on 70–73 °F outcomes. August climatology shows Central Park overnight lows averaging near 68 °F, but a broader seasonal signal for above-normal temperatures has kept the risk of stronger cooling low. No significant cold-air advection or clear, dry conditions favoring sharp drops appear in the short-range forecast, anchoring trader consensus around these levels ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$145Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance, including AccuWeather and ensemble runs, point to a mild overnight period for New York City on August 16, with dew points in the mid-to-upper 60s and light winds limiting radiative cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering in the 68–73 °F range, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on 70–73 °F outcomes. August climatology shows Central Park overnight lows averaging near 68 °F, but a broader seasonal signal for above-normal temperatures has kept the risk of stronger cooling low. No significant cold-air advection or clear, dry conditions favoring sharp drops appear in the short-range forecast, anchoring trader consensus around these levels ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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