National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models from NOAA project a highest temperature in New York City on August 15 near 84°F under mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, driving the 47% market-implied probability for the 84-85°F bin. This aligns with Central Park climatology of an 83°F August average high while reflecting the Climate Prediction Center’s broader warmer-than-normal August outlook. Secondary factors include modest model consensus on limited afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that could cap peaks at 82-83°F (25.5% odds) or allow brief clearing to 86-87°F (14%). Recent stability in guidance has kept extreme bins below 2% combined, as no tropical moisture or strong ridging is expected to push readings higher.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 15?
84-85°F 47%
82-83°F 26%
86-87°F 14%
80-81°F 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
47%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 47%
82-83°F 26%
86-87°F 14%
80-81°F 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
75°F or below
$205 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$115 Обс.
1%
78-79°F
$71 Обс.
3%
80-81°F
$291 Обс.
7%
82-83°F
$191 Обс.
26%
84-85°F
$434 Обс.
47%
86-87°F
$114 Обс.
14%
88-89°F
$109 Обс.
4%
90-91°F
$31 Обс.
2%
92-93°F
$35 Обс.
<1%
94°F or higher
$165 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models from NOAA project a highest temperature in New York City on August 15 near 84°F under mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, driving the 47% market-implied probability for the 84-85°F bin. This aligns with Central Park climatology of an 83°F August average high while reflecting the Climate Prediction Center’s broader warmer-than-normal August outlook. Secondary factors include modest model consensus on limited afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that could cap peaks at 82-83°F (25.5% odds) or allow brief clearing to 86-87°F (14%). Recent stability in guidance has kept extreme bins below 2% combined, as no tropical moisture or strong ridging is expected to push readings higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,762Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models from NOAA project a highest temperature in New York City on August 15 near 84°F under mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, driving the 47% market-implied probability for the 84-85°F bin. This aligns with Central Park climatology of an 83°F August average high while reflecting the Climate Prediction Center’s broader warmer-than-normal August outlook. Secondary factors include modest model consensus on limited afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that could cap peaks at 82-83°F (25.5% odds) or allow brief clearing to 86-87°F (14%). Recent stability in guidance has kept extreme bins below 2% combined, as no tropical moisture or strong ridging is expected to push readings higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,762Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models from NOAA project a highest temperature in New York City on August 15 near 84°F under mostly sunny conditions with light northerly winds, driving the 47% market-implied probability for the 84-85°F bin. This aligns with Central Park climatology of an 83°F August average high while reflecting the Climate Prediction Center’s broader warmer-than-normal August outlook. Secondary factors include modest model consensus on limited afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that could cap peaks at 82-83°F (25.5% odds) or allow brief clearing to 86-87°F (14%). Recent stability in guidance has kept extreme bins below 2% combined, as no tropical moisture or strong ridging is expected to push readings higher.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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