Latest NOAA forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a Seattle high near 79°F on August 15 under sunny, light-wind conditions influenced by the marine layer and Puget Sound, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F (35%) and 80-81°F (21.5%) bins. This reflects typical mid-August climatology where daily highs average 75-79°F, tempered by onshore flow despite the broader warmer-than-average summer signal. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though afternoon sea-breeze timing or minor cloud cover could shift the peak by 1-2°F; traders weigh these variables against resolution criteria using official Seattle observations. Updated NWS guidance expected before market close will likely anchor final positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on August 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 15?
78-79°F 35%
80-81°F 22%
76-77°F 15%
74-75°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 35%
80-81°F 22%
76-77°F 15%
74-75°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Обс.
2%
74-75°F
$49 Обс.
9%
76-77°F
$59 Обс.
15%
78-79°F
$72 Обс.
35%
80-81°F
$69 Обс.
22%
82-83°F
$54 Обс.
9%
84-85°F
$181 Обс.
4%
86-87°F
$68 Обс.
3%
88-89°F
$15 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$0 Обс.
<1%
92°F or higher
$30 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest NOAA forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a Seattle high near 79°F on August 15 under sunny, light-wind conditions influenced by the marine layer and Puget Sound, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F (35%) and 80-81°F (21.5%) bins. This reflects typical mid-August climatology where daily highs average 75-79°F, tempered by onshore flow despite the broader warmer-than-average summer signal. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though afternoon sea-breeze timing or minor cloud cover could shift the peak by 1-2°F; traders weigh these variables against resolution criteria using official Seattle observations. Updated NWS guidance expected before market close will likely anchor final positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$597Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest NOAA forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a Seattle high near 79°F on August 15 under sunny, light-wind conditions influenced by the marine layer and Puget Sound, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F (35%) and 80-81°F (21.5%) bins. This reflects typical mid-August climatology where daily highs average 75-79°F, tempered by onshore flow despite the broader warmer-than-average summer signal. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though afternoon sea-breeze timing or minor cloud cover could shift the peak by 1-2°F; traders weigh these variables against resolution criteria using official Seattle observations. Updated NWS guidance expected before market close will likely anchor final positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$597Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA forecasts and ensemble model consensus project a Seattle high near 79°F on August 15 under sunny, light-wind conditions influenced by the marine layer and Puget Sound, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F (35%) and 80-81°F (21.5%) bins. This reflects typical mid-August climatology where daily highs average 75-79°F, tempered by onshore flow despite the broader warmer-than-average summer signal. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though afternoon sea-breeze timing or minor cloud cover could shift the peak by 1-2°F; traders weigh these variables against resolution criteria using official Seattle observations. Updated NWS guidance expected before market close will likely anchor final positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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