Forecast consensus for San Francisco on August 15 centers on a high in the mid-to-upper 60s, with marine-layer cooling from the Pacific and onshore westerly flow limiting afternoon warming near the coast. National Weather Service guidance and multiple model runs point to partly sunny skies, moderate west winds of 15-25 mph, and temperatures peaking near 66-68°F, consistent with August climatology where the marine influence caps daily highs well below inland values. Recent model updates show no significant warming trend or offshore flow developing overnight into tomorrow, keeping 70°F-plus outcomes less probable while supporting the market's leading bins around 66-69°F. Traders weigh these stable coastal dynamics against any last-minute forecast revisions from the National Weather Service ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 15?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 15?
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 24%
70-71°F 22%
72-73°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 24%
70-71°F 22%
72-73°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
59°F or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
60-61°F
$10 Обс.
2%
62-63°F
$232 Обс.
4%
64-65°F
$9 Обс.
7%
66-67°F
$77 Обс.
24%
68-69°F
$14 Обс.
37%
70-71°F
$16 Обс.
22%
72-73°F
$200 Обс.
8%
74-75°F
$155 Обс.
1%
76-77°F
$160 Обс.
<1%
78°F or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus for San Francisco on August 15 centers on a high in the mid-to-upper 60s, with marine-layer cooling from the Pacific and onshore westerly flow limiting afternoon warming near the coast. National Weather Service guidance and multiple model runs point to partly sunny skies, moderate west winds of 15-25 mph, and temperatures peaking near 66-68°F, consistent with August climatology where the marine influence caps daily highs well below inland values. Recent model updates show no significant warming trend or offshore flow developing overnight into tomorrow, keeping 70°F-plus outcomes less probable while supporting the market's leading bins around 66-69°F. Traders weigh these stable coastal dynamics against any last-minute forecast revisions from the National Weather Service ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$873Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus for San Francisco on August 15 centers on a high in the mid-to-upper 60s, with marine-layer cooling from the Pacific and onshore westerly flow limiting afternoon warming near the coast. National Weather Service guidance and multiple model runs point to partly sunny skies, moderate west winds of 15-25 mph, and temperatures peaking near 66-68°F, consistent with August climatology where the marine influence caps daily highs well below inland values. Recent model updates show no significant warming trend or offshore flow developing overnight into tomorrow, keeping 70°F-plus outcomes less probable while supporting the market's leading bins around 66-69°F. Traders weigh these stable coastal dynamics against any last-minute forecast revisions from the National Weather Service ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$873Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus for San Francisco on August 15 centers on a high in the mid-to-upper 60s, with marine-layer cooling from the Pacific and onshore westerly flow limiting afternoon warming near the coast. National Weather Service guidance and multiple model runs point to partly sunny skies, moderate west winds of 15-25 mph, and temperatures peaking near 66-68°F, consistent with August climatology where the marine influence caps daily highs well below inland values. Recent model updates show no significant warming trend or offshore flow developing overnight into tomorrow, keeping 70°F-plus outcomes less probable while supporting the market's leading bins around 66-69°F. Traders weigh these stable coastal dynamics against any last-minute forecast revisions from the National Weather Service ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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