Current short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and supporting global models indicate a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under stable high pressure, light westerly flow, and persistent sunny skies. Coastal sea breezes, typical for the eastern Mediterranean in late summer, moderate peak heating and keep temperatures aligned with August climatology of 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread and no major shifts from these values, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C while assigning lower implied probabilities to 34°C or cooler outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine any subtle adjustments from diurnal or boundary-layer influences.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
33°C 65%
32°C 19%
34°C 14%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
19%
33°C
65%
34°C
14%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 65%
32°C 19%
34°C 14%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
19%
33°C
65%
34°C
14%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service, Met Office, and supporting global models indicate a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under stable high pressure, light westerly flow, and persistent sunny skies. Coastal sea breezes, typical for the eastern Mediterranean in late summer, moderate peak heating and keep temperatures aligned with August climatology of 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal spread and no major shifts from these values, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C while assigning lower implied probabilities to 34°C or cooler outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine any subtle adjustments from diurnal or boundary-layer influences.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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