Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a daily maximum near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 1, supporting the 54% market-implied probability for that outcome over 34°C (25.5%). Typical August climatology features highs around 31–32°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, yet current conditions show slight intensification from warm advection and reduced sea-breeze moderation. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 34–36°C against observational uncertainty at official stations, where precise timing of peak heating and any late-day marine layer can shift the recorded value by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations through midday will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 1?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 1?
35°C 54%
34°C 28%
36°C 13%
33°C 6%
$24,913 Обс.
$24,913 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
28%
35°C
54%
36°C
13%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 54%
34°C 28%
36°C 13%
33°C 6%
$24,913 Обс.
$24,913 Обс.
Aug 1, 2026
31°C or below
$509 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$1,025 Обс.
1%
33°C
$2,424 Обс.
6%
34°C
$7,529 Обс.
28%
35°C
$4,030 Обс.
54%
36°C
$2,953 Обс.
13%
37°C
$1,180 Обс.
<1%
38°C
$632 Обс.
<1%
39°C
$354 Обс.
<1%
40°C
$358 Обс.
<1%
41°C or higher
$3,918 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a daily maximum near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 1, supporting the 54% market-implied probability for that outcome over 34°C (25.5%). Typical August climatology features highs around 31–32°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, yet current conditions show slight intensification from warm advection and reduced sea-breeze moderation. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 34–36°C against observational uncertainty at official stations, where precise timing of peak heating and any late-day marine layer can shift the recorded value by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations through midday will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$24,913Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a daily maximum near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 1, supporting the 54% market-implied probability for that outcome over 34°C (25.5%). Typical August climatology features highs around 31–32°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, yet current conditions show slight intensification from warm advection and reduced sea-breeze moderation. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 34–36°C against observational uncertainty at official stations, where precise timing of peak heating and any late-day marine layer can shift the recorded value by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations through midday will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$24,913Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a daily maximum near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 1, supporting the 54% market-implied probability for that outcome over 34°C (25.5%). Typical August climatology features highs around 31–32°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, yet current conditions show slight intensification from warm advection and reduced sea-breeze moderation. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 34–36°C against observational uncertainty at official stations, where precise timing of peak heating and any late-day marine layer can shift the recorded value by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations through midday will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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