**Multiple independent weather models and official forecasts from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions project afternoon highs of 32–38°C for Jinan on August 23, 2026, well above the 26°C threshold.** This positioning stems from persistent warm, humid air masses typical of late-August climatology in Shandong province, reinforced by recent model runs showing minimal cooling from scattered thunderstorms. Observed temperatures have already climbed through the 30s°C during morning hours, aligning with historical baselines where August maxima frequently exceed 33°C. The near-certain market odds reflect this strong observational and forecast consensus, with real-capital traders assigning negligible probability to anomalous cooling. Only an unforeseen sharp increase in cloud cover, heavy rainfall, or station-specific measurement anomaly could realistically prevent the daily maximum from surpassing 26°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jinan on August 23?
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Multiple independent weather models and official forecasts from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions project afternoon highs of 32–38°C for Jinan on August 23, 2026, well above the 26°C threshold.** This positioning stems from persistent warm, humid air masses typical of late-August climatology in Shandong province, reinforced by recent model runs showing minimal cooling from scattered thunderstorms. Observed temperatures have already climbed through the 30s°C during morning hours, aligning with historical baselines where August maxima frequently exceed 33°C. The near-certain market odds reflect this strong observational and forecast consensus, with real-capital traders assigning negligible probability to anomalous cooling. Only an unforeseen sharp increase in cloud cover, heavy rainfall, or station-specific measurement anomaly could realistically prevent the daily maximum from surpassing 26°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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