Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private providers currently indicate a high near 90–92°F for Denver on August 24, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 90–93°F bins. Late-August climatology shows a seasonal decline from peak summer values, with normal highs around 86–89°F, yet a lingering warm pattern after early-month records near 102°F supports the slight elevation. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms, already evident in recent guidance, could cap the maximum if they develop earlier than expected, introducing modest downside risk reflected in the secondary probabilities. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.