**Clear skies, stable high pressure, and light winds are driving overnight radiative cooling in Milan, with meteorological models consistently projecting a minimum near 18°C.** Late-August climatology supports lows in the 17–20°C range under similar anticyclonic conditions, and current observations show dew points in the mid-teens with minimal cloud cover allowing efficient longwave radiation loss after sunset. The dominant market-implied probability for exactly 18°C reflects this forecast consensus and the narrow expected range given weak synoptic forcing. A sudden increase in low-level moisture, thicker nocturnal cloud decks, or an unforecast warm-air advection could push the minimum several degrees higher, while stronger radiational cooling under perfectly clear, calm conditions remains the main pathway to values at or below 17°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Milan on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 30?
18°C 95%
14°C or below 13%
15°C 2%
16°C 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
14°C or below
13%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
95%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 95%
14°C or below 13%
15°C 2%
16°C 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
14°C or below
$12 ปริมาณ
13%
15°C
$29 ปริมาณ
2%
16°C
$158 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$120 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C
$539 ปริมาณ
95%
19°C
$98 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$20 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$20 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$47 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C or higher
$30 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, stable high pressure, and light winds are driving overnight radiative cooling in Milan, with meteorological models consistently projecting a minimum near 18°C.** Late-August climatology supports lows in the 17–20°C range under similar anticyclonic conditions, and current observations show dew points in the mid-teens with minimal cloud cover allowing efficient longwave radiation loss after sunset. The dominant market-implied probability for exactly 18°C reflects this forecast consensus and the narrow expected range given weak synoptic forcing. A sudden increase in low-level moisture, thicker nocturnal cloud decks, or an unforecast warm-air advection could push the minimum several degrees higher, while stronger radiational cooling under perfectly clear, calm conditions remains the main pathway to values at or below 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,088วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, stable high pressure, and light winds are driving overnight radiative cooling in Milan, with meteorological models consistently projecting a minimum near 18°C.** Late-August climatology supports lows in the 17–20°C range under similar anticyclonic conditions, and current observations show dew points in the mid-teens with minimal cloud cover allowing efficient longwave radiation loss after sunset. The dominant market-implied probability for exactly 18°C reflects this forecast consensus and the narrow expected range given weak synoptic forcing. A sudden increase in low-level moisture, thicker nocturnal cloud decks, or an unforecast warm-air advection could push the minimum several degrees higher, while stronger radiational cooling under perfectly clear, calm conditions remains the main pathway to values at or below 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,088วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies, stable high pressure, and light winds are driving overnight radiative cooling in Milan, with meteorological models consistently projecting a minimum near 18°C.** Late-August climatology supports lows in the 17–20°C range under similar anticyclonic conditions, and current observations show dew points in the mid-teens with minimal cloud cover allowing efficient longwave radiation loss after sunset. The dominant market-implied probability for exactly 18°C reflects this forecast consensus and the narrow expected range given weak synoptic forcing. A sudden increase in low-level moisture, thicker nocturnal cloud decks, or an unforecast warm-air advection could push the minimum several degrees higher, while stronger radiational cooling under perfectly clear, calm conditions remains the main pathway to values at or below 17°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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