**Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover have kept overnight radiative cooling limited across London on August 30, 2026, with official Met Office guidance and multiple model runs converging on a daily minimum near 15–16 °C.** Southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h have maintained mixing in the boundary layer, while dew points in the mid-teens and high humidity (60–85 %) further suppress temperature drops. Recent days showed comparable minima (14.9–17.3 °C), reinforcing trader expectations that the lowest reading will fall in the 16–17 °C range. With resolution approaching and no major frontal passage expected before midnight, the 87.5 % implied probability on 17 °C captures the narrow window of forecast uncertainty around official station data, while lower probabilities on 15 °C or below reflect the modest chance of localized clearer skies enhancing cooling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on August 30?
Lowest temperature in London on August 30?
17°C 88%
16°C 11%
15°C <1%
14°C <1%
$13,288 ปริมาณ
$13,288 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
11%
17°C
88%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 88%
16°C 11%
15°C <1%
14°C <1%
$13,288 ปริมาณ
$13,288 ปริมาณ
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$227 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$34 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$1,017 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$871 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$2,951 ปริมาณ
11%
17°C
$2,229 ปริมาณ
88%
18°C
$2,771 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,043 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$1,044 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C or higher
$1,061 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover have kept overnight radiative cooling limited across London on August 30, 2026, with official Met Office guidance and multiple model runs converging on a daily minimum near 15–16 °C.** Southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h have maintained mixing in the boundary layer, while dew points in the mid-teens and high humidity (60–85 %) further suppress temperature drops. Recent days showed comparable minima (14.9–17.3 °C), reinforcing trader expectations that the lowest reading will fall in the 16–17 °C range. With resolution approaching and no major frontal passage expected before midnight, the 87.5 % implied probability on 17 °C captures the narrow window of forecast uncertainty around official station data, while lower probabilities on 15 °C or below reflect the modest chance of localized clearer skies enhancing cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,288วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover have kept overnight radiative cooling limited across London on August 30, 2026, with official Met Office guidance and multiple model runs converging on a daily minimum near 15–16 °C.** Southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h have maintained mixing in the boundary layer, while dew points in the mid-teens and high humidity (60–85 %) further suppress temperature drops. Recent days showed comparable minima (14.9–17.3 °C), reinforcing trader expectations that the lowest reading will fall in the 16–17 °C range. With resolution approaching and no major frontal passage expected before midnight, the 87.5 % implied probability on 17 °C captures the narrow window of forecast uncertainty around official station data, while lower probabilities on 15 °C or below reflect the modest chance of localized clearer skies enhancing cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,288วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover have kept overnight radiative cooling limited across London on August 30, 2026, with official Met Office guidance and multiple model runs converging on a daily minimum near 15–16 °C.** Southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h have maintained mixing in the boundary layer, while dew points in the mid-teens and high humidity (60–85 %) further suppress temperature drops. Recent days showed comparable minima (14.9–17.3 °C), reinforcing trader expectations that the lowest reading will fall in the 16–17 °C range. With resolution approaching and no major frontal passage expected before midnight, the 87.5 % implied probability on 17 °C captures the narrow window of forecast uncertainty around official station data, while lower probabilities on 15 °C or below reflect the modest chance of localized clearer skies enhancing cooling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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