Recent numerical weather models indicate minimum temperatures for Chongqing on September 1 will likely range from 23–25°C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin while urban heat effects limit further drops. This aligns with early-September climatology but leaves room for local microclimate deviations or slight model adjustments as the date nears. Trader positioning, with the strongest implied probability on 18°C or below, reflects awareness of forecast uncertainty ranges and historical variability in overnight lows rather than a confirmed cool surge. Updated CMA and global ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 1?
18°C or below 96%
19°C 49%
20°C 49%
24°C 49%
18°C or below
96%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
25%
24°C
49%
25°C
32%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
18°C or below 96%
19°C 49%
20°C 49%
24°C 49%
18°C or below
96%
19°C
49%
20°C
49%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
25%
24°C
49%
25°C
32%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models indicate minimum temperatures for Chongqing on September 1 will likely range from 23–25°C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, supporting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin while urban heat effects limit further drops. This aligns with early-September climatology but leaves room for local microclimate deviations or slight model adjustments as the date nears. Trader positioning, with the strongest implied probability on 18°C or below, reflects awareness of forecast uncertainty ranges and historical variability in overnight lows rather than a confirmed cool surge. Updated CMA and global ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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