Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam show notable divergence in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture on August 25–26, driving the near-even split between sub-12 °C and 22 °C-plus minimums. Easterly to southeasterly flow is expected to advect warmer, more humid air while scattered showers and thunderstorms increase cloud cover, limiting nocturnal temperature drops; however, any clearing behind convective activity could allow stronger surface cooling toward historical late-August lows near 13 °C. Model spread in precipitation timing, dew-point depression, and low-level wind shear creates the observed market balance, with updated runs from agencies such as ECMWF and national meteorological services likely to narrow resolution criteria before market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 26?
12°C or below 92%
22°C or higher 92%
13°C 87%
19°C 87%
12°C or below
92%
13°C
87%
14°C
49%
15°C
27%
16°C
49%
17°C
50%
18°C
49%
19°C
87%
20°C
87%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
92%
12°C or below 92%
22°C or higher 92%
13°C 87%
19°C 87%
12°C or below
92%
13°C
87%
14°C
49%
15°C
27%
16°C
49%
17°C
50%
18°C
49%
19°C
87%
20°C
87%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam show notable divergence in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer moisture on August 25–26, driving the near-even split between sub-12 °C and 22 °C-plus minimums. Easterly to southeasterly flow is expected to advect warmer, more humid air while scattered showers and thunderstorms increase cloud cover, limiting nocturnal temperature drops; however, any clearing behind convective activity could allow stronger surface cooling toward historical late-August lows near 13 °C. Model spread in precipitation timing, dew-point depression, and low-level wind shear creates the observed market balance, with updated runs from agencies such as ECMWF and national meteorological services likely to narrow resolution criteria before market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย