Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models supports a daily high in the low 90s for Miami on August 23, with most guidance centering near 91–93 °F under partly sunny skies, south-southeast flow, and 50–70 % afternoon thunderstorm chances that typically limit peak heating. Typical late-August conditions—including high humidity, heat-index values above 100 °F, and sea-breeze convergence—align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 92–93 °F, while the modest probability assigned to 94 °F or higher reflects the capping effect of widespread convection and cloud cover observed in recent similar setups. Updated model runs and the 6 a.m. NWS forecast, which explicitly call for a high near 93 °F, remain the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Miami on August 23?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 23?
92-93°F 67%
90-91°F 24%
94-95°F 8%
88-89°F 1.4%
ใหม่
$16,885 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,885 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
67%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 67%
90-91°F 24%
94-95°F 8%
88-89°F 1.4%
ใหม่
$16,885 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,885 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
$596 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$739 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$510 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$1,378 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$1,092 ปริมาณ
1%
88-89°F
$2,001 ปริมาณ
1%
90-91°F
$5,846 ปริมาณ
24%
92-93°F
$2,338 ปริมาณ
67%
94-95°F
$1,405 ปริมาณ
8%
96-97°F
$519 ปริมาณ
1%
98°F or higher
$460 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models supports a daily high in the low 90s for Miami on August 23, with most guidance centering near 91–93 °F under partly sunny skies, south-southeast flow, and 50–70 % afternoon thunderstorm chances that typically limit peak heating. Typical late-August conditions—including high humidity, heat-index values above 100 °F, and sea-breeze convergence—align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 92–93 °F, while the modest probability assigned to 94 °F or higher reflects the capping effect of widespread convection and cloud cover observed in recent similar setups. Updated model runs and the 6 a.m. NWS forecast, which explicitly call for a high near 93 °F, remain the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,885วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models supports a daily high in the low 90s for Miami on August 23, with most guidance centering near 91–93 °F under partly sunny skies, south-southeast flow, and 50–70 % afternoon thunderstorm chances that typically limit peak heating. Typical late-August conditions—including high humidity, heat-index values above 100 °F, and sea-breeze convergence—align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 92–93 °F, while the modest probability assigned to 94 °F or higher reflects the capping effect of widespread convection and cloud cover observed in recent similar setups. Updated model runs and the 6 a.m. NWS forecast, which explicitly call for a high near 93 °F, remain the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,885วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models supports a daily high in the low 90s for Miami on August 23, with most guidance centering near 91–93 °F under partly sunny skies, south-southeast flow, and 50–70 % afternoon thunderstorm chances that typically limit peak heating. Typical late-August conditions—including high humidity, heat-index values above 100 °F, and sea-breeze convergence—align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 92–93 °F, while the modest probability assigned to 94 °F or higher reflects the capping effect of widespread convection and cloud cover observed in recent similar setups. Updated model runs and the 6 a.m. NWS forecast, which explicitly call for a high near 93 °F, remain the key near-term catalysts for trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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