PAGASA forecasts indicate the southwest monsoon (habagat) will drive cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila on August 25, limiting insolation and capping daytime maxima near 29–31°C amid high humidity and frequent convective clouds. This aligns with August climatology, where typical highs range 30–32°C but monsoon-enhanced rainfall often suppresses peaks by 1–2°C relative to clearer periods. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight 31–32°C lead at 52% combined implied probability, incorporates short-term model variability and potential for localized breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming spikes, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes capture the narrow uncertainty band two days ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on August 25?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 25?
32°C 29%
31°C 24%
30°C 17%
33°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
9%
30°C
17%
31°C
24%
32°C
29%
33°C
15%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 29%
31°C 24%
30°C 17%
33°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$112 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
29°C
$20 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts indicate the southwest monsoon (habagat) will drive cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila on August 25, limiting insolation and capping daytime maxima near 29–31°C amid high humidity and frequent convective clouds. This aligns with August climatology, where typical highs range 30–32°C but monsoon-enhanced rainfall often suppresses peaks by 1–2°C relative to clearer periods. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight 31–32°C lead at 52% combined implied probability, incorporates short-term model variability and potential for localized breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming spikes, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes capture the narrow uncertainty band two days ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$137วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts indicate the southwest monsoon (habagat) will drive cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila on August 25, limiting insolation and capping daytime maxima near 29–31°C amid high humidity and frequent convective clouds. This aligns with August climatology, where typical highs range 30–32°C but monsoon-enhanced rainfall often suppresses peaks by 1–2°C relative to clearer periods. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight 31–32°C lead at 52% combined implied probability, incorporates short-term model variability and potential for localized breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming spikes, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes capture the narrow uncertainty band two days ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$137วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA forecasts indicate the southwest monsoon (habagat) will drive cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorms over Metro Manila on August 25, limiting insolation and capping daytime maxima near 29–31°C amid high humidity and frequent convective clouds. This aligns with August climatology, where typical highs range 30–32°C but monsoon-enhanced rainfall often suppresses peaks by 1–2°C relative to clearer periods. Trader consensus, reflected in the tight 31–32°C lead at 52% combined implied probability, incorporates short-term model variability and potential for localized breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming spikes, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes capture the narrow uncertainty band two days ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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