Forecast models and PAGASA guidance point to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Manila on August 24 amid the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity (80–90%) suppressing radiative cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered around 26°C, though minor variations in rain timing or wind could shift the exact reading by 1–2°C. Trader probabilities remain tightly grouped from 24–27°C because numerical guidance shows limited spread, while the elevated 31°C+ share reflects uncertainty over localized urban heat or forecast revisions before the daily minimum is recorded at official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Manila on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 24?
31°C or higher 73%
29°C 51%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
15%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
51%
30°C
12%
31°C or higher
73%
31°C or higher 73%
29°C 51%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$210 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$138 ปริมาณ
15%
23°C
$26 ปริมาณ
25%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
51%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
12%
31°C or higher
$155 ปริมาณ
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and PAGASA guidance point to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Manila on August 24 amid the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity (80–90%) suppressing radiative cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered around 26°C, though minor variations in rain timing or wind could shift the exact reading by 1–2°C. Trader probabilities remain tightly grouped from 24–27°C because numerical guidance shows limited spread, while the elevated 31°C+ share reflects uncertainty over localized urban heat or forecast revisions before the daily minimum is recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$539วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and PAGASA guidance point to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Manila on August 24 amid the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity (80–90%) suppressing radiative cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered around 26°C, though minor variations in rain timing or wind could shift the exact reading by 1–2°C. Trader probabilities remain tightly grouped from 24–27°C because numerical guidance shows limited spread, while the elevated 31°C+ share reflects uncertainty over localized urban heat or forecast revisions before the daily minimum is recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$539วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and PAGASA guidance point to overnight lows of 26–27°C in Manila on August 24 amid the southwest monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity (80–90%) suppressing radiative cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered around 26°C, though minor variations in rain timing or wind could shift the exact reading by 1–2°C. Trader probabilities remain tightly grouped from 24–27°C because numerical guidance shows limited spread, while the elevated 31°C+ share reflects uncertainty over localized urban heat or forecast revisions before the daily minimum is recorded at official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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