**The southwest monsoon continues to dominate weather patterns over Manila, with PAGASA forecasting cloudy skies, scattered rainshowers, and thunderstorms for August 24 that limit solar heating and keep maximum temperatures in the 26–30 °C range.** Recent observations show a 31.5 °C peak on August 23 under similar conditions, while multiple models diverge on afternoon clearing potential, with some projecting isolated peaks near 32 °C if convection remains suppressed. Persistent moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds enhance mixing and evaporative cooling, narrowing the range of likely daily maxima. Trader consensus around 30–32 °C reflects this model spread and the timing of any convective activity relative to the daily temperature peak. Updated PAGASA guidance and satellite trends on August 24 morning will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on August 24?
31°C 32%
32°C 24%
30°C 19%
29°C 7%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
19%
31°C
32%
32°C
24%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
4%
31°C 32%
32°C 24%
30°C 19%
29°C 7%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
19%
31°C
32%
32°C
24%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The southwest monsoon continues to dominate weather patterns over Manila, with PAGASA forecasting cloudy skies, scattered rainshowers, and thunderstorms for August 24 that limit solar heating and keep maximum temperatures in the 26–30 °C range.** Recent observations show a 31.5 °C peak on August 23 under similar conditions, while multiple models diverge on afternoon clearing potential, with some projecting isolated peaks near 32 °C if convection remains suppressed. Persistent moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds enhance mixing and evaporative cooling, narrowing the range of likely daily maxima. Trader consensus around 30–32 °C reflects this model spread and the timing of any convective activity relative to the daily temperature peak. Updated PAGASA guidance and satellite trends on August 24 morning will provide the clearest signal for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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