Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles highlight persistent monsoon-driven moisture and heavy rainfall over Guangzhou on August 25 as the main driver behind trader positioning near 31–33 °C. Extensive cloud cover reduces surface insolation while evaporative cooling from precipitation compresses the diurnal range, keeping peaks close to the seasonal norm of ~31–32 °C amid high humidity and light steering winds. Minor model disagreements on convective timing and low-level moisture advection create the tight spread among the top three outcomes, with any delay in rain onset potentially allowing brief warming toward 34 °C before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
32°C 27%
33°C 24%
31°C 21%
30°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C
12%
31°C
21%
32°C
27%
33°C
24%
34°C
11%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 27%
33°C 24%
31°C 21%
30°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$122 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$2 ปริมาณ
12%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
35°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles highlight persistent monsoon-driven moisture and heavy rainfall over Guangzhou on August 25 as the main driver behind trader positioning near 31–33 °C. Extensive cloud cover reduces surface insolation while evaporative cooling from precipitation compresses the diurnal range, keeping peaks close to the seasonal norm of ~31–32 °C amid high humidity and light steering winds. Minor model disagreements on convective timing and low-level moisture advection create the tight spread among the top three outcomes, with any delay in rain onset potentially allowing brief warming toward 34 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$124วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles highlight persistent monsoon-driven moisture and heavy rainfall over Guangzhou on August 25 as the main driver behind trader positioning near 31–33 °C. Extensive cloud cover reduces surface insolation while evaporative cooling from precipitation compresses the diurnal range, keeping peaks close to the seasonal norm of ~31–32 °C amid high humidity and light steering winds. Minor model disagreements on convective timing and low-level moisture advection create the tight spread among the top three outcomes, with any delay in rain onset potentially allowing brief warming toward 34 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$124วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles highlight persistent monsoon-driven moisture and heavy rainfall over Guangzhou on August 25 as the main driver behind trader positioning near 31–33 °C. Extensive cloud cover reduces surface insolation while evaporative cooling from precipitation compresses the diurnal range, keeping peaks close to the seasonal norm of ~31–32 °C amid high humidity and light steering winds. Minor model disagreements on convective timing and low-level moisture advection create the tight spread among the top three outcomes, with any delay in rain onset potentially allowing brief warming toward 34 °C before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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