Official forecasts from New Zealand's MetService indicate a maximum temperature of 17°C in Wellington on August 23, 2026, driven by mild northwesterly winds and clear conditions that have stabilized daytime heating. This aligns with current observational trends and model consensus from regional guidance, placing the outcome well above the winter climatological average of 12–14°C while remaining below typical summer peaks. Trader consensus at 99.9% reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range temperature predictions and the absence of incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that could alter readings. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold outbreak or measurement discrepancy at official stations, though such shifts are improbable this close to resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 23?
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$65,536 ปริมาณ
$65,536 ปริมาณ
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$65,536 ปริมาณ
$65,536 ปริมาณ
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from New Zealand's MetService indicate a maximum temperature of 17°C in Wellington on August 23, 2026, driven by mild northwesterly winds and clear conditions that have stabilized daytime heating. This aligns with current observational trends and model consensus from regional guidance, placing the outcome well above the winter climatological average of 12–14°C while remaining below typical summer peaks. Trader consensus at 99.9% reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range temperature predictions and the absence of incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that could alter readings. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold outbreak or measurement discrepancy at official stations, though such shifts are improbable this close to resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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