Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 23, 2026, project a Tokyo high of 31–32°C under predominantly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 30.7°C and recent model consensus. Persistent cloud cover and light easterly flow have limited solar heating through midday observations near 28–30°C, reinforcing trader consensus around the 31°C outcome at 98.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects the strong alignment between verified agency guidance, ensemble runs, and climatological baselines. A sudden shift to clearer conditions or stronger subsidence could allow readings to reach 33–34°C, though current steering patterns and moisture make such intensification unlikely before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 23?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 23?
31°C 99.4%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$47,169 ปริมาณ
$47,169 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
99%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.4%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$47,169 ปริมาณ
$47,169 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$1,610 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$2,754 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$2,661 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$4,796 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$8,376 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$11,056 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$4,597 ปริมาณ
99%
32°C
$4,751 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$3,323 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$1,041 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C or higher
$2,205 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 23, 2026, project a Tokyo high of 31–32°C under predominantly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 30.7°C and recent model consensus. Persistent cloud cover and light easterly flow have limited solar heating through midday observations near 28–30°C, reinforcing trader consensus around the 31°C outcome at 98.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects the strong alignment between verified agency guidance, ensemble runs, and climatological baselines. A sudden shift to clearer conditions or stronger subsidence could allow readings to reach 33–34°C, though current steering patterns and moisture make such intensification unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,169วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 23, 2026, project a Tokyo high of 31–32°C under predominantly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 30.7°C and recent model consensus. Persistent cloud cover and light easterly flow have limited solar heating through midday observations near 28–30°C, reinforcing trader consensus around the 31°C outcome at 98.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects the strong alignment between verified agency guidance, ensemble runs, and climatological baselines. A sudden shift to clearer conditions or stronger subsidence could allow readings to reach 33–34°C, though current steering patterns and moisture make such intensification unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,169วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 23, 2026, project a Tokyo high of 31–32°C under predominantly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 30.7°C and recent model consensus. Persistent cloud cover and light easterly flow have limited solar heating through midday observations near 28–30°C, reinforcing trader consensus around the 31°C outcome at 98.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects the strong alignment between verified agency guidance, ensemble runs, and climatological baselines. A sudden shift to clearer conditions or stronger subsidence could allow readings to reach 33–34°C, though current steering patterns and moisture make such intensification unlikely before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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