Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 31–32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Southerly winds advect warmer maritime air while limited cloud cover allows strong insolation during peak solar heating hours, yet variable afternoon cumulus or a weak sea-breeze circulation could shave 1°C off the maximum. Historical late-August baselines average near 31°C, and the Japan Meteorological Agency’s latest guidance shows no significant frontal passage or typhoon influence through the period. Traders weigh these boundary-layer dynamics against model spread in timing of the daily peak, with fresh JMA updates and ensemble runs expected to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
32°C 38%
33°C 29%
31°C 13%
34°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
38%
33°C
29%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 38%
33°C 29%
31°C 13%
34°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$1,424 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$905 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,074 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$235 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$527 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$438 ปริมาณ
6%
31°C
$2,028 ปริมาณ
13%
32°C
$552 ปริมาณ
38%
33°C
$849 ปริมาณ
29%
34°C
$1,086 ปริมาณ
8%
35°C or higher
$202 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 31–32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Southerly winds advect warmer maritime air while limited cloud cover allows strong insolation during peak solar heating hours, yet variable afternoon cumulus or a weak sea-breeze circulation could shave 1°C off the maximum. Historical late-August baselines average near 31°C, and the Japan Meteorological Agency’s latest guidance shows no significant frontal passage or typhoon influence through the period. Traders weigh these boundary-layer dynamics against model spread in timing of the daily peak, with fresh JMA updates and ensemble runs expected to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,320วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 31–32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Southerly winds advect warmer maritime air while limited cloud cover allows strong insolation during peak solar heating hours, yet variable afternoon cumulus or a weak sea-breeze circulation could shave 1°C off the maximum. Historical late-August baselines average near 31°C, and the Japan Meteorological Agency’s latest guidance shows no significant frontal passage or typhoon influence through the period. Traders weigh these boundary-layer dynamics against model spread in timing of the daily peak, with fresh JMA updates and ensemble runs expected to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,320วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 31–32°C in Tokyo on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Southerly winds advect warmer maritime air while limited cloud cover allows strong insolation during peak solar heating hours, yet variable afternoon cumulus or a weak sea-breeze circulation could shave 1°C off the maximum. Historical late-August baselines average near 31°C, and the Japan Meteorological Agency’s latest guidance shows no significant frontal passage or typhoon influence through the period. Traders weigh these boundary-layer dynamics against model spread in timing of the daily peak, with fresh JMA updates and ensemble runs expected to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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